TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Hanwha Life Esports59c15,000$8,850 inLost-$8,850633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Bilibili Gaming41c13,529$5,563 inWon+$7,965.769741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Hanwha Life Esports18c3,807$671 inLost-$670.9137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hanwha Life Esports50c2,665$1,333 inLost-$1,332.681,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Bilibili Gaming50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,000.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Bilibili Gaming41c1,240$508 inWon+$731.66235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Bilibili Gaming50c420$210 inWon+$21028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe98…85b1backed Bilibili Gaming47c211.7$99 inWon+$112.77742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Bilibili Gaming61c202.56$125 inWon+$7894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Bilibili Gaming41c102.44$42 inWon+$60.4425542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Bilibili Gaming41c102.44$42 inWon+$60.4419840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Bilibili Gaming40c101.83$41 inWon+$61.128250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Hanwha Life Esports39c100.66$39 inLost-$39.2612221.3%26 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Hanwha Life Esports60c100$60 inLost-$6061256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Hanwha Life Esports38c100$38 inLost-$384422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Bilibili Gaming44c96.3$42 inWon+$53.9732442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Bilibili Gaming41c78.05$32 inWon+$46.057846.2%36 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b75…535cbacked Bilibili Gaming76c67.84$52 inWon+$16.282268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2546…d582backed Bilibili Gaming50c60$30 inWon+$301414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports58c51.39$30 inLost-$29.82,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Hanwha Life Esports54c50$27 inLost-$272,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…4129backed Hanwha Life Esports53c37.74$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Hanwha Life Esports46c24.74$11 inLost-$11.3838655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.