Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8464a0e2c13507d198ea116a79a9b94f38350b89e8deed6227b7e290a2a6715c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 50c | 20,558$10,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,283.41 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 55c | 15,359$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 62c | 13,025$8,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.99 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Over | 38c | 8,466$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.21 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Over | 38c | 5,233$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 2,319$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.52 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 38c | 2,007$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e76bbacked Under | 62c | 1,800$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked Over | 39c | 1,539$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.21 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…5e5fbacked Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 61c | 1,244$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.22 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 52c | 1,111$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 36c | 875.01$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.84 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 63c | 852.85$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 626.19$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Under | 64c | 462.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 61c | 462$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 60c | 412$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…d9f3backed Under | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 60c | 335.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 311.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 304.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 42c | 267.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…cf22backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…7301backed Over | 38c | 209.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 64c | 203.02$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Over | 37c | 202.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…1143backed Over | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 16c | 194$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Over | 38c | 192.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 181.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed Under | 60c | 173.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 60c | 172.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 37c | 154.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 153.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Over | 37c | 148.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Over | 18c | 138.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 42c | 137.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…3301backed Over | 45c | 128.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 526 | 50.8%267 W · 259 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 63c | 123.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 59c | 119.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 35c | 112.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 63c | 110.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 53c | 107.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 38c | 107$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 64c | 103.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 39c | 102.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…3fb4backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Over | 48c | 99.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…bd6fbacked Over | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 22c | 92.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 62c | 87.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…ee7bbacked Over | 39c | 81.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 36c | 81.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…02bfbacked Over | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 188 | 63.3%119 W · 69 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…c3e6backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d9…29f4backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 37c | 81.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…678dbacked Under | 63c | 70.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…3cf7backed Under | 67c | 69.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…d582backed Over | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 67c | 64.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…aadebacked Over | 37c | 62.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Under | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…eb89backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 37c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 49c | 54.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 37c | 54.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 52.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Under | 65c | 52.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 60c | 50.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…95ffbacked Over | 39c | 49.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…d5d3backed Under | 62c | 47.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…40b3backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…d34cbacked Over | 44c | 47.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 40c | 43.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 42.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…c8fabacked Under | 64c | 38.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 62c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e0…8de1backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…049abacked Under | 69c | 34.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.