TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under50c20,558$10,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,283.4169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over55c15,359$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,449.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under62c13,025$8,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.9921347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked Over38c8,466$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.217440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed Over38c5,233$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.768041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over29c2,319$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.522,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over38c2,007$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.661,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under63c2,000$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e76bbacked Under62c1,800$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.998060%48 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Over39c1,539$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.218828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b8f…5e5fbacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under61c1,244$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.221,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under52c1,111$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8922336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c875.01$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.842,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under63c852.85$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c626.19$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.582,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18562451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ade…9951backed Under64c462.5$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under61c462$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1820143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over60c412$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.151216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dca…d9f3backed Under63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.213256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under60c335.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.442149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c311.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.791,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over42c304.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over42c267.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ea…7301backed Over38c209.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under64c203.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0292354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Over37c202.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.967945.6%36 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10289050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…1143backed Over38c199.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over16c194$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.913,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over38c192.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.862744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over37c181.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2326440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe98…85b1backed Under60c173.05$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.057742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under60c172.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7162649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c157$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over37c154.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.186338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c153.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.451,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.53417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over37c148.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.088749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Over18c138.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.892725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over42c137.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8231…3301backed Over45c128.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.011625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under63c123.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7527356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over59c119.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5837161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over35c112.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2130731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under63c110.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3816346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over38c109.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.87349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under53c107.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.039460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over38c107$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under64c103.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8561746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under59c103$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0319553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over39c102.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2858042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3746248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…3fb4backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826234.4%90 W · 172 L-21.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Over48c99.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf1…bd6fbacked Over56c92.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over22c92.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed Over38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under53c89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.831,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under62c87.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2e…ee7bbacked Over39c81.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328937.1%33 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Over36c81.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over53c81.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39b…c3e6backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d9…29f4backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over37c81.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.377054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under63c70.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.936771.6%48 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7016…3cf7backed Under67c69.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2546…d582backed Over43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under67c64.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.242,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2149…aadebacked Over37c62.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…a972backed Under62c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.816055%88 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d4…eb89backed Under48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.196428.1%18 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over37c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6835848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under49c54.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2857349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Over37c54.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0320631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under61c52.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.532,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Under65c52.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.369857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under60c50.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb3…95ffbacked Over39c49.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1217…d5d3backed Under62c47.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.221553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2a…40b3backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d71…d34cbacked Over44c47.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under40c43.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over35c42.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5781…c8fabacked Under64c38.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under62c37.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2539555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e0…8de1backed Over38c36.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…f66cbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d7…049abacked Under69c34.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.