TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22ea…7301

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT12428.2%35 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.47
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141%+$77.53
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$145.13
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.87
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$19.38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.43
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+330.3%+$52.84
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+538.7%+$80.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will AG.AL win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$27.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.85
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$53.86
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.98
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85%+$25.49
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$22.58
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.