Dota2 · resolved market
Team Yandex to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c429994d4e4829046f6f276581e6711cceff6ad06a656aa8d34dd75f435be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 58c | 2,496$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 49c | 1,737$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 64c | 1,632$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 1,490$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.85 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 42c | 1,210$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.33 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 43c | 1,088$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 804.91$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.01 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 47c | 799.28$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 64c | 740.93$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 68c | 735.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 725.86$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.55 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Yes | 36c | 672.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…6358backed Yes | 36c | 640.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 28c | 599.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 63c | 488.06$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Yes | 36c | 483.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 5c | 439.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 36c | 422.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Yes | 61c | 422$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 20c | 391.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 61c | 351.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 46c | 328.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 73c | 308.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 48c | 286.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 65c | 242.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 35c | 227.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 55c | 212.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 25c | 191.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 36c | 190.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 188.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…8d61backed Yes | 49c | 183.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 180.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 64c | 174$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Yes | 54c | 170.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 145.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes | 36c | 137.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 19c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 17c | 126.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…5cc6backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…a243backed Yes | 45c | 110.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…e421backed No | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Yes | 64c | 101.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 35c | 100.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 33c | 99.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 36c | 97.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 25c | 88.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…1a88backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 59c | 86.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 37c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…3a6bbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 40c | 74.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Yes | 64c | 72.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Yes | 65c | 71.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 42c | 67.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 60c | 66.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 75c | 64.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 32c | 59.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 38c | 58.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 35c | 58.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Yes | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…9062backed Yes | 47c | 53.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 43c | 47.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3715…3704backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…0015backed Yes | 44c | 45.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yes | 27c | 45.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 38.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed No | 66c | 38.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed No | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6362…97bfbacked Yes | 58c | 35.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 32c | 31.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…3332backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 49c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 46c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed No | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 64c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7ed4backed Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Yandex to win 2-0?this page
- 1win to win 2-0?No won
- 1win vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.