TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ce7…7ed4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7068.6%48 W · 22 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$4.62
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$18.92
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.01
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.69
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.78
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$23.12
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$21.82
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.5
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.97
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$8.29
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.71
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+76%+$18.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$9.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$48.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.02
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.