CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb0bab8349f61b8a33dec32c929171cd613f998ee47fda7ddc61cdf5027c5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Legacy | 19c | 16,181$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Legacy | 40c | 16,059$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.7 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Legacy | 37c | 12,836$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 11,216$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.52 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy | 32c | 10,972$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.03 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Legacy | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.21 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Legacy | 23c | 8,446$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.63 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Legacy | 22c | 6,787$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,750$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,370$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.64 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,224$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.3 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,720$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.6 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Legacy | 40c | 4,660$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.11 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Legacy | 7c | 4,621$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,072$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.95 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Legacy | 32c | 4,000$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.8 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,936$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.55 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Legacy | 25c | 3,447$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.93 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,015$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.4 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Legacy | 14c | 2,755$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Legacy | 10c | 2,685$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.57 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Legacy | 19c | 2,371$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Legacy | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Legacy | 23c | 2,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.74 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,023$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Legacy | 27c | 1,864$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,689$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.87 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,482$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.19 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Legacy | 22c | 1,358$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Legacy | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,247$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Legacy | 24c | 1,192$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.08 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,132$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.29 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Legacy | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.34 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,072$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Legacy | 30c | 1,056$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 34c | 1,045$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy | 23c | 1,009$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…c325backed Legacy | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 890.75$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 860.04$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Legacy | 13c | 850$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Legacy | 29c | 850$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Legacy | 23c | 835.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 826.27$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.69 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Legacy | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Legacy | 26c | 807.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 770.97$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.97 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Legacy | 19c | 751.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed Legacy | 29c | 735.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 721.17$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy | 35c | 706$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Legacy | 4c | 705.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Legacy | 37c | 696.54$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Legacy | 19c | 692$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Legacy | 36c | 666$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…a2c9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 634.81$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 632.72$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 628.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Legacy | 23c | 616.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Legacy | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Legacy | 29c | 593.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy | 25c | 575.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Legacy | 27c | 559.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +147%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Legacy | 13c | 549.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Legacy | 29c | 525.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 524.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Legacy | 20c | 500.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Legacy | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Legacy | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Legacy | 22c | 448.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Legacy | 30c | 447.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 445.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy | 21c | 426.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy | 38c | 420.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 38c | 412.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Legacy | 29c | 409.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Legacy | 28c | 398.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 385$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 366.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 359.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 350.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 350$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Legacy | 24c | 349.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 347.3$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…e54abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 321.24$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 320.47$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Legacy | 39c | 319.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.