CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7aabd41014631ae45a9e924de140732beea70b25ed8b9d49f7dc23e4354da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 820.47$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Under | 54c | 549.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.64 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 44c | 517.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 70c | 444$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 55c | 437.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 229.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 212.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 167.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked Under | 71c | 140.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 79c | 138.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 68c | 132.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e90…af65backed Over | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 44c | 98.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 70c | 77.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…ed95backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 67.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…7c98backed Under | 60c | 61.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Under | 70c | 49.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 44c | 49.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 25c | 41.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…281fbacked Over | 52c | 38.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…dbf1backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…c944backed Under | 67c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 69c | 24.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Under | 68c | 23.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 56c | 23.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 68c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.