CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854cc1734477825d158c0da3256661894d4e6fc4abe4e963e09e9fbe250ed363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,236,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,585,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,236,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 787 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Legacy | 29c | 158,564$46,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,669.07 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Legacy | 31c | 149,999$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.58 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 100,000$71,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.99 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 44,418$31,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.13 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Legacy | 28c | 40,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Legacy | 19c | 36,626$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.15 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Legacy | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 28,571$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571.43 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 28,115$19,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,715.58 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…a6c3backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 28,074$19,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 24,741$17,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,427.65 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Legacy | 32c | 23,438$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy | 31c | 16,132$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.91 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Legacy | 29c | 15,532$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…2bb3backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 13,126$9,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy | 31c | 12,697$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.97 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Legacy | 14c | 12,048$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.5 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.04 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 11,300$8,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Legacy | 30c | 10,893$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.45 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Legacy | 28c | 10,699$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed Legacy | 28c | 10,680$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Legacy | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 8,352$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 8,339$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.28 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,861$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.91 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,600$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.97 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 7,032$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.19 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Legacy | 30c | 6,854$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.34 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…c9a1backed Legacy | 11c | 6,801$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy | 31c | 6,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.98 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Legacy | 10c | 6,351$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.04 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 6,029$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.97 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.98 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy | 25c | 5,907$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.69 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,749$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.38 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 5,502$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.21 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 28c | 5,289$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,246$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.38 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…6512backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,217$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Legacy | 31c | 5,004$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.07 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Legacy | 30c | 4,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 4,742$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.13 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…da6cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,655$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…0c51backed Legacy | 31c | 4,482$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,393$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.72 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,246$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…c4adbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Legacy | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Legacy | 11c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,654$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Legacy | 13c | 3,609$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.4 | 158 | 31%49 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Legacy | 30c | 3,600$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,533$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…5623backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,478$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,281$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.2 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,279$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…9683backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,275$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,200$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,172$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.42 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,930$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,924$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.15 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,906$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.69 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,904$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.09 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…7097backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,889$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,610$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,594$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.09 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Legacy | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,441$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.74 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Legacy | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…9452backed Legacy | 31c | 2,373$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Legacy | 17c | 2,349$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…e73cbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,330$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Legacy | 29c | 2,289$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.95 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,276$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Legacy | 5c | 2,260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Legacy | 3c | 2,250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 26c | 2,231$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.48 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,219$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.51 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,171$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Legacy | 10c | 2,159$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,096$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.87 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Legacy | 30c | 2,062$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.59 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Legacy | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…df09backed Legacy | 18c | 1,945$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.