CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c7305b53a2b73c7c01d2cc4b9a8e05b6ed5dd7a608ebe38e36e9aee6203995a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Legacy | 54c | 54,247$29,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,413.22 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Legacy | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.96 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 9,076$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.84 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy | 59c | 7,994$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,116$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.64 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,575$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.56 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy | 55c | 3,570$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.51 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,376$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.61 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.33 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 59c | 3,208$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.49 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,424$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.9 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.69 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Legacy | 59c | 2,250$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.5 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Legacy | 48c | 2,178$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.27 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,111$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.94 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Legacy | 39c | 2,069$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.84 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 42c | 2,000$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy | 59c | 1,914$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,655$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.76 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 57c | 1,645$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.97 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Legacy | 35c | 1,539$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.79 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,524$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.26 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.94 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,431$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.94 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.25 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…6401backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 935$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Legacy | 33c | 877.58$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 820.4$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.8 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 812.5$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 793.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.2 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Legacy | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 733.63$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 700$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 511.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Legacy | 59c | 509.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Legacy | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Legacy | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Legacy | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 479.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…730abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 471.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 450.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Legacy | 32c | 447.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Legacy | 59c | 416.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Legacy | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…df09backed Legacy | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…67b7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 352.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Legacy | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Legacy | 56c | 348.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 332.71$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 324.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 309.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 57c | 303.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Legacy | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Legacy | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9bb5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 246.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Legacy | 46c | 239.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…e606backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 237.62$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…6c99backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 213.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy | 55c | 201.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Legacy | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Legacy | 48c | 189.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Legacy | 60c | 180.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 176$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy | 55c | 175.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Legacy | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 173.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 171.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Legacy | 56c | 168.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 160.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 158.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 156.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 155.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Legacy | 35c | 152.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.