TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x84a2…e0b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Mexico to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.35
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Canada leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,542.8
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$777.92
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.29
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,062.41
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,019.11
Senegal to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,549.1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$7,476.78
Germany to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$95.37
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.04
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$4,230.7
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$362.8
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$758.4
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.09
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$711.64
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$880.88
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,732.14
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,009.87
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,398.54
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.8
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,019.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$478.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$703.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$673.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,270.5
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$518.67
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.84
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,803Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,040.74
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,321.16
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,511
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.7
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$91.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.