TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons52c60,000$31,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,148.2550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Monte48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.9933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte48c27,391$13,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,303.3241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Monte48c25,024$12,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,012.423355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons52c19,231$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons50c17,267$8,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,574.6817643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Monte50c13,874$6,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.163351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Monte50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons52c10,881$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Monte51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Falcons49c8,396$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.6734559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Monte50c7,705$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.5866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Monte52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Monte48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Monte50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Monte48c5,800$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.9984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte49c5,040$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.3937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons49c4,988$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.9921945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f05…9c86backed Team Falcons49c4,645$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…78f7backed Team Falcons50c4,600$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Monte51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed Team Falcons48c4,207$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Team Falcons49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Monte50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Monte50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Monte51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons50c2,976$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.811,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Monte28c2,962$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Team Falcons50c2,254$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.520358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons50c2,101$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.4735839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00da…6afdbacked Team Falcons48c2,030$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Team Falcons52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Team Falcons50c1,562$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.944734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Falcons71c1,503$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.3335054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Monte51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7354647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Falcons49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9818254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Falcons51c1,303$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.4155738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons50c1,067$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.635,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Team Falcons50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Team Falcons51c1,000$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Monte49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Team Falcons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Falcons52c978.46$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.85648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons53c943.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9317850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Monte52c898.17$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9850947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Monte49c887.96$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.861,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Monte46c780.1$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.0989248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Monte51c761.18$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9816544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Team Falcons49c755$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.47250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Team Falcons52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Monte37c611.86$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Team Falcons50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9559…9fd7backed Team Falcons50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Monte50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons51c599.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9915251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Team Falcons53c556.02$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6913938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Monte51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.520643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons51c535.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7148948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Falcons73c535$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed Team Falcons73c520$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.65152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Monte51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Monte52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Monte47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Team Falcons52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Monte47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Monte48c499.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Team Falcons51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Monte49c499.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Monte50c438$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21912551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons63c423.79$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2923354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Monte48c418$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Falcons52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Falcons50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b15…7cacbacked Monte51c393.88$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1934337.2%16 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Team Falcons51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Falcons51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Monte50c380.28$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1465662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Monte53c379.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8531451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Team Falcons50c376$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18816451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Monte50c369.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte50c360.65$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.282,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Monte50c352.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1437949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Monte52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16821246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Monte49c345.55$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2335947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Monte51c328.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.967152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Monte49c324.64$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5764854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Monte49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1250050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Monte43c304.11$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.831,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Team Falcons51c301.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15521460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Monte50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.