CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d0e045a36c6cfd84e4065eea8dee036f1b36e4df96b4b89797f464a1c06d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 3,255$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.99 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over | 42c | 1,117$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 65c | 698.81$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.68 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 666.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.69 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 59c | 527.09$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 424.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Over | 42c | 355.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 277.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 75c | 260$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 234.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 36c | 233.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Over | 41c | 214.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 66c | 204.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 177.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 25c | 170.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 162.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 35c | 160.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 56c | 103.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 40c | 101.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Over | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 56c | 91.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 88.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 28c | 85.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Under | 72c | 75.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…38eebacked Over | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 59c | 67.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 67.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 60c | 66.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 38c | 63.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 49c | 60.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Over | 44c | 56.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 60c | 51.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Under | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 59c | 41.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Under | 57c | 34.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 32.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 40c | 29.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 28.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 52c | 27.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 49c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 24.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Under | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Under | 57c | 18.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.