CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504bff4ddd7ee2d5a2653884d80842ec158e707ca6f885204af99a5de21b168e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Team Falcons, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Monte | 45c | 1,533$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 927.71$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Monte | 46c | 554.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 506.38$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Falcons | 55c | 278.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Monte | 46c | 240.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Monte | 46c | 239.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Monte | 44c | 168.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 54c | 130.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons | 55c | 96.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Monte | 42c | 84.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Monte | 43c | 64.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Monte | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Falcons | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Team Falcons | 55c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Monte | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 23.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.