TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,710,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,942,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,710,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons68c200,000$136,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,999.9825255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Monte32c200,000$63,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,628.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Monte32c63,354$19,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,983.414145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons75c60,152$45,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,980.7123355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Team Falcons78c56,461$44,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,421.5113548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte22c54,920$12,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,033.2541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons78c50,937$39,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,206.1938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Team Falcons80c40,000$31,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Monte22c35,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons70c35,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50075758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Monte24c33,871$8,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,111.1733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Monte28c32,911$9,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,262.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Monte25c31,924$7,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,963.51,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Monte23c23,600$5,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,493.893351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Monte1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Monte21c19,995$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.8741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Monte31c19,658$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons70c19,529$13,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,789.242142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Falcons78c19,463$15,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.542673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons69c16,050$11,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,975.4946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Team Falcons78c16,026$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.6410361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Monte22c16,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Monte21c15,919$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.9830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Monte15c15,750$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.254141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Monte15c15,539$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.5129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons65c13,250$8,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.9636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons79c12,658$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.232259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Monte22c12,641$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.9617240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Monte24c12,133$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.9820248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Monte14c12,000$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.6630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Monte22c11,916$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.4583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Falcons78c11,551$8,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.2220745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Team Falcons72c10,164$7,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.4217162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Falcons78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20034559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Falcons79c9,983$7,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.7122468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Monte5c9,550$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9432832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons70c8,540$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.755,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons76c8,000$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.997250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons73c7,961$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.7217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed Monte18c7,773$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Team Falcons72c7,406$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.886647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Team Falcons70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.867157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56db…797abacked Team Falcons78c7,051$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17011655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Monte22c7,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Monte22c6,666$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5211434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Monte31c6,487$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.316344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Monte31c6,400$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.893540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons74c6,057$4,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.722,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.989855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Monte31c5,942$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons72c5,900$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62617737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Monte21c5,810$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.1671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Falcons76c5,810$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.398752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Team Falcons79c5,734$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.723557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Monte22c5,644$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.6428355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Monte19c5,246$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Monte7c5,153$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5718338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Team Falcons77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Monte31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5502850%14 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55014257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Falcons59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9912956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte18c4,998$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2b…2c91backed Monte11c4,874$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons76c4,739$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.382,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Monte22c4,572$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.292,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Monte22c4,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons76c4,400$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Monte23c4,341$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00510449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Team Falcons72c4,244$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons79c4,031$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.65,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Team Falcons77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte26c4,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Monte26c3,970$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.117538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons78c3,886$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.376,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons70c3,878$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.3717554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Monte31c3,748$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.015543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons78c3,739$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.222843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Monte22c3,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77066551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Team Falcons69c3,381$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.1620448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Team Falcons53c3,380$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons65c3,350$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.491,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Team Falcons60c3,335$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.9811947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed Team Falcons76c3,290$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…90d0backed Team Falcons69c3,271$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Monte23c3,259$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.3536440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Monte31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Team Falcons78c3,174$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.6715069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Team Falcons77c3,165$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.944652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Monte31c3,142$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons65c3,118$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.9737157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…4ba4backed Monte32c3,065$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Monte24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Falcons75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a7…9631backed Monte41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.99837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Team Falcons77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.997548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Team Falcons69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.982277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.