TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62ff…90d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$984.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$1,364.97
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$244.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47%+$1,759.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,014.11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$477.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$159.14
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$81.11
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$528.91
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$171
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,527.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.76
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$7.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.