CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73efc57e806c1dcd216b82f6d80e6d4c962364aa17750b8715e029ecc1bbee52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,249,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,459,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,249,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,057 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed MOUZ | 30c | 311,753$93,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,112.33 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 26c | 275,000$72,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,348.11 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vitality | 70c | 113,942$79,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,571.22 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Vitality | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Vitality | 78c | 51,542$40,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,223.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.98 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.94 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vitality | 76c | 47,732$36,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,372.27 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked MOUZ | 8c | 42,165$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MOUZ | 14c | 41,110$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,744.2 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 79c | 40,118$31,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.96 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vitality | 76c | 39,256$29,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,602.05 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Vitality | 78c | 37,251$28,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.75 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed MOUZ | 22c | 35,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 24c | 31,250$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…0e3abacked MOUZ | 0c | 28,030$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed MOUZ | 30c | 27,646$8,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,419.07 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 23c | 25,247$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 18c | 23,725$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.69 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Vitality | 76c | 23,661$17,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.61 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Vitality | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed MOUZ | 23c | 19,228$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.27 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Vitality | 79c | 18,135$14,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.16 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ | 21c | 17,877$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.19 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 17c | 16,774$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.49 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed MOUZ | 31c | 16,420$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8c53backed MOUZ | 8c | 16,229$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Vitality | 78c | 15,969$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.68 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Vitality | 72c | 15,177$10,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.68 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ | 20c | 15,107$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.5 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked MOUZ | 31c | 13,681$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked MOUZ | 15c | 12,323$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.59 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed MOUZ | 22c | 12,236$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.98 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked MOUZ | 16c | 11,074$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.39 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Vitality | 75c | 10,936$8,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.13 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Vitality | 77c | 10,589$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.11 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality | 78c | 10,437$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.13 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Vitality | 76c | 10,200$7,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Vitality | 79c | 10,127$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.58 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Vitality | 69c | 10,006$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.7 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Vitality | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked MOUZ | 15c | 9,900$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked MOUZ | 29c | 9,338$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.64 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Vitality | 77c | 9,000$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked MOUZ | 12c | 8,424$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 22c | 8,236$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.24 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Vitality | 80c | 8,069$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.82 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Vitality | 79c | 8,000$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality | 74c | 7,819$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe365…6e86backed Vitality | 79c | 7,638$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 7c | 7,574$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Vitality | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Vitality | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Vitality | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked MOUZ | 38c | 7,206$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vitality | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ | 32c | 6,958$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.49 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Vitality | 72c | 6,853$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 16c | 6,353$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.1 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Vitality | 76c | 6,294$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.53 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Vitality | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed MOUZ | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 69c | 5,760$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.73 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Vitality | 77c | 5,724$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.54 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ | 14c | 5,672$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Vitality | 78c | 5,569$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.17 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed MOUZ | 23c | 5,521$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.06 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…90d0backed Vitality | 68c | 5,500$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Vitality | 79c | 5,500$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked MOUZ | 8c | 5,458$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.71 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Vitality | 77c | 5,455$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 6c | 5,199$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.95 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed MOUZ | 43c | 5,062$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.4 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Vitality | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed MOUZ | 9c | 4,938$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.37 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vitality | 71c | 4,728$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.45 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 16c | 4,557$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ | 22c | 4,550$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Vitality | 78c | 4,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…66eabacked Vitality | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Vitality | 69c | 4,293$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Vitality | 79c | 4,274$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.99 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed MOUZ | 8c | 4,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Vitality | 69c | 4,000$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.62 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Vitality | 80c | 3,875$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.31 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,769$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ | 35c | 3,749$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MOUZ | 14c | 3,706$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 18c | 3,691$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.19 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…cf6fbacked Vitality | 78c | 3,640$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 19c | 3,629$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 23c | 3,628$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.36 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 21c | 3,594$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.4 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Vitality | 75c | 3,318$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.08 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Vitality | 73c | 3,209$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Vitality | 69c | 3,192$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.68 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.