TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ49c121,788$59,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,111.7325355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Vitality51c100,000$50,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,582.5814050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality50c51,741$25,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,800.7776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ49c35,255$17,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,971.7483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed MOUZ50c20,600$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,30010850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality51c17,583$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ50c13,500$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7501,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed MOUZ51c12,685$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,215.816450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3c…d370backed Vitality49c10,262$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1002,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed MOUZ50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Vitality50c10,000$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,049.9934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ52c9,587$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed MOUZ48c9,357$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.526940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Vitality48c8,201$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.773839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality50c7,992$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.1636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50010935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Vitality48c6,429$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.8848948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked MOUZ49c6,400$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2644544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Vitality51c5,684$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.8417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed MOUZ49c5,499$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.512040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked MOUZ49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality51c3,552$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.6322358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Vitality51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78527658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality51c3,490$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ52c3,438$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.2266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ52c3,250$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.391,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Vitality51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Vitality51c2,549$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30037646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Vitality51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27515251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed MOUZ51c2,476$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.854647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Vitality49c2,426$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.611,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Vitality52c2,212$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15020358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vitality51c2,006$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.112,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Vitality75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.122,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Vitality51c1,969$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0046251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked MOUZ54c1,817$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.8111947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed MOUZ54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.19551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked MOUZ49c1,765$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Vitality47c1,648$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.357250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Vitality51c1,510$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.131345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73518254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6631,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ51c1,240$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61232346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ50c1,193$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.412,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Vitality50c1,175$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed MOUZ50c1,127$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.53333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality48c1,032$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed MOUZ52c1,015$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.0116544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed MOUZ49c1,005$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Vitality50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Vitality49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+247.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Vitality50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Vitality48c975.6$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.295257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed MOUZ52c962.2$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.4850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Vitality51c938.31$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.544734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Vitality51c889.12$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.457060%42 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Vitality51c855.86$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4927552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Vitality52c843.17$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.456643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality47c808.51$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Vitality51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40817853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed MOUZ51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3927751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Vitality53c749.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9930259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MOUZ26c718.44$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1735054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Vitality50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33626155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Vitality50c699.96$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9830155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed MOUZ49c694.71$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.32045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality69c674.73$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ29c666.19$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.6529449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Vitality76c658.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Vitality47c650$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Vitality51c601.96$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3076442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Vitality50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed Vitality51c587.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.563234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Vitality48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.438650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Vitality47c521.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24534140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality49c509.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed MOUZ44c505.01$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ53c504.08$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Vitality38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19026346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed MOUZ49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed MOUZ30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Vitality48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Vitality51c483.35$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Vitality48c482.69$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6989248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked MOUZ51c474.32$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.422584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ53c470$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Vitality47c453.02$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Vitality56c438.57$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.911,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.