CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e20fbc84babf64ec1336897ec2e1afb05f15f89eae41aaf5884d78f4eff29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ | 49c | 121,788$59,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,111.73 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Vitality | 51c | 100,000$50,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,582.58 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 50c | 51,741$25,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,800.77 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 49c | 35,255$17,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,971.74 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed MOUZ | 50c | 20,600$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,300 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 51c | 17,583$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 13,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed MOUZ | 51c | 12,685$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.81 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Vitality | 49c | 10,262$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed MOUZ | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Vitality | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 9,587$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed MOUZ | 48c | 9,357$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Vitality | 48c | 8,201$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 50c | 7,992$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.16 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vitality | 48c | 6,429$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.88 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 6,400$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Vitality | 51c | 5,684$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.84 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed MOUZ | 49c | 5,499$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 51c | 3,552$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.63 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality | 51c | 3,490$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 52c | 3,438$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.22 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 3,250$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.39 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Vitality | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vitality | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Vitality | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,476$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vitality | 49c | 2,426$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.61 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Vitality | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality | 51c | 2,006$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.11 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Vitality | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.12 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Vitality | 51c | 1,969$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.81 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.1 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,765$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Vitality | 47c | 1,648$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.35 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Vitality | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.1 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,240$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.39 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,193$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.41 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Vitality | 50c | 1,175$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.72 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,127$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Vitality | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Vitality | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Vitality | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Vitality | 48c | 975.6$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.29 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed MOUZ | 52c | 962.2$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Vitality | 51c | 938.31$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.54 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Vitality | 51c | 889.12$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.45 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Vitality | 51c | 855.86$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.49 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Vitality | 52c | 843.17$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality | 47c | 808.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Vitality | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed MOUZ | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Vitality | 53c | 749.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed MOUZ | 26c | 718.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Vitality | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Vitality | 50c | 699.96$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.98 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed MOUZ | 49c | 694.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 69c | 674.73$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ | 29c | 666.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.65 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Vitality | 76c | 658.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Vitality | 47c | 650$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Vitality | 51c | 601.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Vitality | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Vitality | 51c | 587.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Vitality | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Vitality | 47c | 521.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitality | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed MOUZ | 44c | 505.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.66 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 53c | 504.08$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Vitality | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed MOUZ | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Vitality | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Vitality | 51c | 483.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Vitality | 48c | 482.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked MOUZ | 51c | 474.32$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Vitality | 47c | 453.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vitality | 56c | 438.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.