TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f58…0ff0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
438
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 64 out of 100; worst Olympics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.99
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.19
Will Chainlink dip to $8 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$16.26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.83
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,866.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.1
Will Chainlink reach $12 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$615.93
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+1,236%+$833.42
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$393.44
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$154.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.62
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.08
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$162.49
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.53
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.53
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250.64
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$807.07
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$391.62
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+254.6%+$1,966.69
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$279
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.21
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$633
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$533
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.99
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,071.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$305.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,805
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$815
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,095
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.7
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.55
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,360
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$5,120
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.62
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.26
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$486.45
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$660.26
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$449.94
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,247.65
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$809.58
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,797Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$2,155.78
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.57
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+247.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$526.96
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.61
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.02
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+6,846.5%+$115,709.62
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.41
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.91
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$1,201.94
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$1,397.83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.74
Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.63
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72%+$581.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.3%+$908.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$360.02
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.4
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.9
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.15
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$31.4
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$603
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+621.6%+$12,059.99
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$120.58
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+140.8%+$365.96
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$25.21
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.28
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$1,471
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$864.9
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$202.77
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,190.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-78%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.64
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.94
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.81
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$958
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,077.52
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,466.2
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.33
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$287.74
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$990.38
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$526.32
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,020.02
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500.16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$177.88
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+98.8%+$160.83
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.44
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.16
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$580
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,003.63
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$305.02
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$137.29
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.49
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,910
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$605.68
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+525%+$500.76
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,707.74
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.14
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$2,097.12
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$1,098.32
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.66
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.84
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$729
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$930
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+397.5%+$490.38
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$4,338.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,710.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$372.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+352.5%+$922.67
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,872
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.51
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$60.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,099.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+164.6%+$1,866
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$139.11
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.05
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid+470.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.78
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.92
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.16
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,501.99
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,782.1
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.77
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$217.4
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,689.99
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$1,135.56
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+11,147.9%+$146,960.76
OpenSea airdrop before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$671.42
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.96
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.97
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$270
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+192.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$121.15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.9%+$66
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+316.7%+$268.2
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.99
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$363.91
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$2,790
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$586
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.97
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+525%+$2,520
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$1,399.8
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.71
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$719.05
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$9,500
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.66
Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,150
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$39.02
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,010
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,061.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.03
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.37
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,843.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.19
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,945.45
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$54.61
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+231.1%+$13,960
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,215.33
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,357.73
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,180
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+58.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,902Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+471.9%+$8,975.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,452.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$2,820
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$314.52
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,286.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+178.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$319.99
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+80.5%+$501.81
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+900%+$1,540.87
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.41
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$2,132.74
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$266.18
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.15
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+809.1%+$6,509.85
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+162.5%+$29.58
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$2,100.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.12
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$919.49
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$127.97
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,864.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$769.78
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$150.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.82
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.19
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$272.16
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+1,196.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+9,973%+$104,473.86
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,314.14
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.05
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,385
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+899.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+896.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+150.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$97.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.61
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$828.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$253.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$692.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 September second hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$504
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.