Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b70395fef7d5e345f69d3d1476d7009c15cc4ad3d66fb63c68fd37bba8f760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,921,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,203,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf523…3f69backed Yes | 17c | 81,485$13,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,467.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…e86dbacked Yes | 11c | 80,977$9,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…fbaabacked No | 71c | 61,492$43,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,111.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes | 10c | 44,734$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 8c | 32,708$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.3 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 25c | 27,062$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876.35 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…fd4abacked Yes | 5c | 25,417$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 38c | 22,068$8,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed No | 76c | 21,277$16,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…863fbacked Yes | 9c | 17,597$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes | 4c | 17,152$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,911$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 41c | 15,603$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.78 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…c855backed Yes | 7c | 14,883$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 14,712$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…b925backed Yes | 15c | 12,890$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…182abacked Yes | 50c | 11,951$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Yes | 24c | 10,968$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…eebdbacked No | 69c | 10,117$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…c5c8backed Yes | 22c | 9,612$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 1c | 9,550$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…d3b5backed Yes | 3c | 8,921$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 44c | 8,541$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0d43backed Yes | 8c | 8,271$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,116$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 76c | 8,030$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.88 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…f4aebacked No | 74c | 8,000$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 40c | 7,510$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.75 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed No | 23c | 6,700$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +115%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…f458backed Yes | 2c | 6,655$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 3c | 6,625$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed No | 66c | 6,086$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…0767backed Yes | 10c | 6,071$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 38c | 6,000$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 3c | 5,852$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…fd70backed Yes | 5c | 5,815$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 3c | 5,600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 3c | 5,565$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…af7dbacked No | 79c | 5,400$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…e810backed Yes | 5c | 5,052$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…080cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,011$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…907bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,997$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…dfc2backed Yes | 6c | 4,983$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…2a46backed Yes | 21c | 4,977$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53b…c1acbacked Yes | 21c | 4,886$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,712$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…8ea6backed Yes | 17c | 4,699$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 12c | 4,661$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.44 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…887cbacked No | 79c | 4,600$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed No | 57c | 4,454$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 4,244$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…3ef3backed Yes | 10c | 4,157$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…e5dbbacked Yes | 27c | 4,136$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Yes | 3c | 3,918$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…cf2bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,846$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes | 17c | 3,831$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…d2d8backed Yes | 3c | 3,800$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…5fafbacked No | 70c | 3,766$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d9c9backed Yes | 15c | 3,735$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 19c | 3,722$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…bff4backed Yes | 27c | 3,696$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…e265backed Yes | 2c | 3,654$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…cf10backed Yes | 12c | 3,648$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 3,640$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…4dd4backed Yes | 2c | 3,535$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…fbbebacked Yes | 6c | 3,392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,386$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…048ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,293$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 25c | 3,280$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 72c | 3,073$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.55 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…5640backed Yes | 3c | 3,033$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…aa88backed Yes | 5c | 2,929$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…6113backed Yes | 5c | 2,878$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…6b39backed Yes | 18c | 2,802$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2207…4afcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,756$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…0c23backed Yes | 52c | 2,538$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…2f63backed No | 79c | 2,523$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…7fafbacked No | 69c | 2,477$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…05aabacked No | 79c | 2,400$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,374$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Yes | 10c | 2,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…7330backed Yes | 50c | 2,279$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 66c | 2,237$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.57 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…7967backed Yes | 22c | 2,211$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…2a1abacked Yes | 23c | 2,209$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 45c | 2,179$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…a72abacked No | 73c | 2,170$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 48c | 2,151$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 79c | 2,114$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…8a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,068$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…84fdbacked No | 68c | 2,029$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…188bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,014$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…9eb8backed Yes | 8c | 2,012$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445d…fca0backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.