TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c2e…75ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST7231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.3
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$537.98
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$867.37
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,270.4
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900.64
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$694.41
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,337.41
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,460.01
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$245.08
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,676.88
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$892.84
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$880.13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,607.9
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15,276.83
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$329.25
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,152.13
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.3
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,243.95
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,552.62
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,167.44
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400.57
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$98.52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$190.28
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$1,075.52
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+25%+$8.6
Judge issues restraining order to block Trump's funding freeze by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54.8
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+57.3%+$587.97
Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$11.79
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+126.3%+$28,145.7
Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$37.76
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$115.05
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$138
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$425.92
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$78.13
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$17.85
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$659.61
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$463.69
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$2,665
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$108.04
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$99
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$431.99
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$347.14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$196.83
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$405.67
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$437.31
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+757.1%+$1,060
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$52.94
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+41.9%+$5.85
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$139.65
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+43.2%+$234.32
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+26.3%+$345.03
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+31%+$6.79
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+35.2%+$260
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$37
Will a Republican win Maryland US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$164.23
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+96.5%+$528.8
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$250.65
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$225.15
Will a Republican win New Jersey US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$12.4
Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$80.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+34.9%+$51.73
Netanyahu out by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$224.5
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$88.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$DJT market cap less than $8b on April 5? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT+334.8%+$277.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympic Women's Soccer Final: USA vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.