Premier League · resolved market
Olympic Women's Soccer Final: USA vs. Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fbcf2d7b5a4d5af6a4f4091bad8dc467fac44d3e1d3a0440aea84b5edae658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Brazil | 4c | 4,909$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed USA | 69c | 3,900$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Brazil | 31c | 2,939$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Brazil | 38c | 2,713$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed USA | 62c | 2,696$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked USA | 70c | 1,613$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Brazil | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Brazil | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed USA | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Brazil | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed USA | 68c | 705.23$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Brazil | 31c | 659.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed USA | 63c | 600$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Brazil | 29c | 497.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Brazil | 37c | 482$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Brazil | 8c | 449.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Brazil | 30c | 411.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked USA | 60c | 360$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed USA | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Brazil | 31c | 332.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked USA | 68c | 330.81$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…e30ebacked Brazil | 19c | 319.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Brazil | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…58e8backed USA | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Brazil | 31c | 226$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…16f2backed Brazil | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Brazil | 15c | 174.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Brazil | 32c | 156.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5f66backed USA | 64c | 155$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd274…80bcbacked USA | 71c | 153.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…071dbacked Brazil | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked USA | 69c | 148.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…ee01backed USA | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…d7dfbacked Brazil | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed USA | 69c | 140.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…b2b6backed USA | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…33fbbacked Brazil | 40c | 126.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Brazil | 41c | 123.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Brazil | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed USA | 59c | 100.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Brazil | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…5701backed USA | 69c | 86.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked USA | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…8536backed Brazil | 32c | 70.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbc…a24cbacked USA | 66c | 68.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…2c81backed Brazil | 32c | 63.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Brazil | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…d35ebacked USA | 68c | 58.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f46bbacked Brazil | 48c | 53.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…a11bbacked Brazil | 41c | 45.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed USA | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…bb87backed USA | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…4cb6backed Brazil | 34c | 34.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…35d5backed Brazil | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.