Middle East · resolved market
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce4ce441b98560634b67589135dac0034a45edaacf13455c9add1ddbb6b7dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,577,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,097,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,577,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes | 2c | 789,519$19,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,509.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…dad2backed Yes | 2c | 444,427$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 2c | 432,856$7,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 0c | 154,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…df9dbacked Yes | 20c | 151,756$30,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,188.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 32c | 149,398$48,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,287.36 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 1c | 144,515$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.27 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…b4a4backed Yes | 40c | 126,372$50,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,003.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 1c | 96,000$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 83,132$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.8 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…e4c4backed Yes | 74c | 75,278$55,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,352.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked No | 31c | 70,205$21,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,452.83 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked No | 48c | 68,285$32,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,577.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7dfebacked Yes | 6c | 63,250$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 17c | 62,638$10,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,540.59 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…daffbacked Yes | 3c | 62,541$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 48c | 50,296$24,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,128.51 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…2556backed No | 8c | 49,975$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,114.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,194.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…6974backed No | 18c | 47,687$8,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,284.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 45c | 41,839$18,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,195.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 64c | 41,462$26,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,632.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…e93dbacked No | 55c | 41,247$22,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,686.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…84e9backed No | 62c | 36,751$22,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,950.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…9ee8backed Yes | 27c | 34,341$9,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 8c | 33,432$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.21 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 62c | 32,920$20,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,612.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…517ebacked Yes | 3c | 31,726$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…f69dbacked Yes | 1c | 30,998$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 64c | 26,337$16,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,920.48 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 30c | 25,781$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.03 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…21e6backed Yes | 27c | 25,025$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…9545backed No | 60c | 24,934$15,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,929.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 70c | 24,897$17,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.73 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 22,838$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…47d8backed No | 54c | 22,748$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,548.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 43c | 22,321$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 19c | 21,510$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 45c | 21,298$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,615.51 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 66c | 20,845$13,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,102.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 43c | 19,899$8,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,631.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 0c | 19,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 18c | 18,927$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.34 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked Yes | 44c | 18,608$8,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 26c | 18,331$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.98 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…2a19backed No | 77c | 17,812$13,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 8c | 17,577$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,234.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 33c | 17,453$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…cb1ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,066$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…dfc1backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…3025backed Yes | 2c | 16,994$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 16c | 16,981$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…4d66backed No | 43c | 15,880$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,078.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…9056backed No | 28c | 15,500$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked No | 77c | 15,380$11,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Yes | 2c | 15,080$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…5146backed Yes | 29c | 14,302$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…bb9dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 9c | 14,270$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,982.17 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 59c | 13,964$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.82 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 69c | 13,329$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 16c | 13,205$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 23c | 12,554$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed No | 48c | 12,048$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 68c | 11,689$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…e6e4backed Yes | 1c | 11,379$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…6be1backed Yes | 14c | 11,016$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…54e9backed Yes | 1c | 10,659$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 22c | 10,635$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.78 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…5377backed Yes | 1c | 10,322$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 70c | 10,227$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…c560backed Yes | 17c | 10,215$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 42c | 10,046$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed25…ad50backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…20f9backed Yes | 34c | 9,742$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 2c | 9,298$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…bac0backed Yes | 5c | 9,127$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked No | 51c | 9,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…8fdebacked Yes | 25c | 8,982$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 7c | 8,900$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.77 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked No | 64c | 8,857$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked Yes | 19c | 8,798$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…50e6backed Yes | 13c | 8,736$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 19c | 8,670$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked No | 26c | 8,545$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,349.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…d231backed Yes | 1c | 8,499$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…d03cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,260$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 62c | 8,241$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed Yes | 27c | 8,219$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.09 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…f91abacked Yes | 72c | 8,166$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 65c | 7,990$5,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,161.62 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 7,928$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3a…cd95backed Yes | 27c | 7,731$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 7c | 7,692$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.68 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 27c | 7,592$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.02 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 43c | 7,547$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.28 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 8c | 7,457$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.38 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e63…4268backed No | 59c | 7,443$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.