World Politics · resolved market
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dee7133255484468b06465e9de2ef3efeab7b0ba6e58ce0a965f73a24e134b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,436,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,290,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,436,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 21c | 211,547$44,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,715.03 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 14c | 139,732$19,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,840.47 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 23c | 138,085$31,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,251.27 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 19c | 123,145$23,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,544.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…7186backed No | 42c | 121,484$51,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,109.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 27c | 110,883$30,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,129.8 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 9c | 104,008$8,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,912.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af6…25afbacked Yes | 10c | 101,746$10,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,174.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…2c56backed No | 78c | 91,628$71,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,140.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 22c | 85,809$19,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,221.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…1067backed No | 62c | 80,110$50,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,062.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +210%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…14bcbacked Yes | 19c | 79,294$14,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,947.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 79c | 77,274$60,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,457.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 4c | 72,666$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.07 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…20efbacked No | 54c | 71,928$38,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,229.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 6c | 67,000$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Yes | 12c | 66,980$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,717.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 7c | 65,437$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 11c | 58,624$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed No | 71c | 57,585$40,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,739.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…8a8ebacked Yes | 4c | 56,118$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 16c | 55,420$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,606.2 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…e710backed Yes | 38c | 54,119$20,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,558.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 58c | 51,860$29,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,928.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…35febacked Yes | 57c | 49,209$27,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,976.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 19c | 48,152$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,922.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked No | 71c | 47,856$34,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,751.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 26c | 47,000$12,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,277.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e87…4cf9backed Yes | 11c | 43,852$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 16c | 42,054$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 39,701$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.49 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…e47dbacked Yes | 14c | 39,214$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…8fb6backed Yes | 43c | 36,736$15,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,694.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 34c | 35,624$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 14c | 33,718$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 25c | 33,036$8,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,387.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 13c | 32,670$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 53c | 32,028$16,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,987.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 15c | 31,837$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 67c | 30,843$20,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,648.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 2c | 30,637$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…4fd4backed Yes | 34c | 29,869$10,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,032.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 27c | 29,802$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.64 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 28c | 28,749$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…cce6backed Yes | 48c | 28,447$13,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,772.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 25c | 28,285$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,101.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 23c | 27,998$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 11c | 27,649$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.42 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 26,586$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.43 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 76c | 25,840$19,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 47c | 25,328$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,893.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ae2abacked No | 60c | 25,157$15,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,066.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…499ebacked Yes | 23c | 25,109$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4c98backed Yes | 47c | 24,462$11,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,457.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 22c | 24,035$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…7889backed Yes | 21c | 24,008$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 23,503$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.09 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e01…6988backed No | 60c | 23,189$13,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 11c | 22,499$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…973ebacked No | 60c | 21,238$12,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,450.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 7c | 20,847$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…c11cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,680$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 63c | 20,595$13,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,025.72 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 2c | 20,453$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 79c | 20,095$15,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.92 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…e4c4backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,299.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked Yes | 13c | 19,678$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 20c | 19,676$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…6a3ebacked Yes | 35c | 19,633$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 5c | 19,507$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.66 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 55c | 19,329$10,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,788.37 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 38c | 19,260$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,396.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 28c | 16,320$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.05 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…7a6dbacked No | 62c | 16,257$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 3c | 16,217$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…6fadbacked Yes | 56c | 16,045$9,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 10c | 16,000$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…3186backed Yes | 46c | 15,996$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1b16backed Yes | 18c | 15,825$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 15,664$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56c…f597backed No | 71c | 15,389$10,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 12c | 15,349$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.52 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…e157backed No | 72c | 15,027$10,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d88…6dbcbacked Yes | 64c | 15,024$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…93d7backed No | 76c | 14,810$11,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…b975backed Yes | 49c | 14,768$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…2dfebacked No | 68c | 14,728$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 10c | 14,640$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…bc12backed Yes | 13c | 14,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…6974backed Yes | 35c | 14,433$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…4c4ebacked Yes | 34c | 14,355$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 49c | 14,348$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,347.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 33c | 14,183$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.62 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ce…b4e7backed No | 61c | 13,468$8,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…9766backed Yes | 6c | 13,417$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…97e3backed Yes | 13c | 13,340$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 0c | 12,984$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2443…84e4backed Yes | 12c | 12,862$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…5488backed No | 78c | 12,813$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 25c | 12,709$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.