TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf55e…0c66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
476
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2658.7%23 W · 242 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 265 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+960.4%+$960.44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78.64
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$232.91
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.77
Showing 25 of 265 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-90.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.95
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$171
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80.92
Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.6
Canada election called by midnight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.9
Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Alberta in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.62
Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.7
Will the CDU/CSU win over 40% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$44.74
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.02
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.66
Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-72.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+580.3%+$170.6
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.4
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.77
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$103.65
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$14.9
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$12.12
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$42.09
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$60.78
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$29.9
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$149.01
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST220%0 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.85
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$377.35
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31.87
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.73
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$97.9
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.77
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.61
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$543
2024 December hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$21.6
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.39°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15.94
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$29.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$409.8
Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Directorbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.7
Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.1
Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$243.61
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+119.2%+$116.57
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.83
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$136.92
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.7
Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.05
Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$699.94
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,678.37
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$127.31
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$90.16
Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$98.4
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.15
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$366.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hillary's remarks not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$424.65
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$117.38
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.52
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.03
Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$113.67
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51.5
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$271.19
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$61.59
Nine Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$196.86
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,177.9
Will Trump's approval rating be 58% or higher on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 48% on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.3
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$75.9
Five Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$608.48
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$324.89
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$65
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$549.1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$86.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+331.3%+$263.15
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.73
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.89
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+71.7%+$137.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick3cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.