World Politics · resolved market
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86eb929137a18f0b13d067e871a5a042dab54a6aa86ac03e06d9383dbc732db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,567,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,280,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,567,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 274,753$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.25 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 241,180$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.54 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…bbf5backed Yes | 1c | 188,336$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 115,547$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 106,578$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.63 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…7daabacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 96,407$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 0c | 73,365$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…7747backed Yes | 0c | 72,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,998$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes | 1c | 37,600$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 4c | 29,384$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…6364backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…23febacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…d116backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 25,900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…72bfbacked Yes | 0c | 22,380$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,321$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…8038backed Yes | 0c | 21,920$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…fc5cbacked Yes | 3c | 21,094$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…73c6backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…5ffcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 0c | 19,730$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…d6b0backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…119fbacked Yes | 5c | 13,265$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 1c | 13,025$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…df53backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…8f2abacked Yes | 0c | 12,750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…0e67backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…67dfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…38cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…12e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020e…7528backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 8,442$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 1c | 7,572$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 6,966$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…f6b2backed Yes | 2c | 5,996$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 6cpaid | +1,027.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…cbc1backed Yes | 0c | 5,938$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,767$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,412$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 5,365$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…61c8backed Yes | 0c | 3,885$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…e330backed Yes | 3c | 3,572$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…0e14backed Yes | 1c | 3,559$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,439$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 5c | 3,229$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…b5a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…4ce4backed Yes | 1c | 2,858$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…13f9backed Yes | 0c | 2,648$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 2,305$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,277$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 2c | 2,158$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…ebeabacked Yes | 6c | 2,121$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…ed6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,106$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…1077backed Yes | 1c | 2,052$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed Yes | 1c | 2,040$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…8adfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,016$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…64ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,857$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,630$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 3c | 1,489$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 1,120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…9f36backed Yes | 3c | 1,093$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…b45dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked Yes | 5c | 992.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…10dabacked Yes | 3c | 905.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…2637backed Yes | 6c | 790.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…e812backed Yes | 6c | 593.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…e829backed Yes | 4c | 462.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +337.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 433$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…9609backed Yes | 3c | 399.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked Yes | 6c | 374.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 351.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…e0b2backed Yes | 6c | 351.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…6311backed Yes | 8c | 332.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…499fbacked Yes | 5c | 315.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 6c | 290$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…add3backed Yes | 6c | 258.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…0846backed Yes | 5c | 220.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 5c | 193$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 177.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?this page
- Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes won
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.