World Politics · resolved market
Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79468f3bf680347cf7970d985f2e0029789ae5c416edfc201d222074c12633c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,476,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,293,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,476,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,286,193$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.09 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 233,603$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 130,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…4b53backed Yes | 0c | 120,322$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…fa75backed Yes | 0c | 88,280$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 85,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…fe86backed Yes | 0c | 84,720$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…abc7backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…d028backed Yes | 0c | 78,755$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…38d8backed Yes | 0c | 77,750$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…14f3backed Yes | 0c | 77,335$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…53d7backed Yes | 0c | 76,280$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…8ce7backed Yes | 0c | 74,890$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…e99bbacked Yes | 0c | 73,339$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…71c5backed Yes | 0c | 69,165$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…14b5backed Yes | 0c | 57,784$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee0…4665backed Yes | 0c | 56,580$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…5233backed Yes | 0c | 54,435$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…3dc3backed Yes | 0c | 53,885$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…65a7backed Yes | 0c | 52,920$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…defbbacked Yes | 0c | 52,765$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…7312backed Yes | 0c | 50,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…4784backed Yes | 0c | 50,475$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…00abbacked Yes | 0c | 49,685$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…5f20backed Yes | 0c | 48,335$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…d309backed Yes | 0c | 44,280$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…a5cbbacked Yes | 0c | 43,910$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…79f4backed Yes | 0c | 43,149$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…811dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,590$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…51e0backed Yes | 0c | 40,925$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1663…164bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,495$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…8ab9backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd884…b571backed Yes | 0c | 39,815$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 37,007$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…d42fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,385$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 0c | 35,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c87…cce2backed Yes | 0c | 35,470$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6785backed Yes | 0c | 35,435$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…bad8backed Yes | 0c | 35,295$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…2c64backed Yes | 0c | 35,130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 33,649$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 33,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…5f57backed Yes | 0c | 32,885$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…4c89backed Yes | 0c | 32,190$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…701abacked Yes | 0c | 32,170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…82debacked Yes | 0c | 31,785$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…a151backed Yes | 1c | 30,455$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Yes | 0c | 30,453$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c63ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,430$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31da…c37cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,220$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…d396backed Yes | 0c | 29,470$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…8810backed Yes | 0c | 29,015$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…5388backed Yes | 0c | 28,752$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a3…6e09backed Yes | 0c | 28,580$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…2180backed Yes | 0c | 27,815$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…ae13backed Yes | 0c | 27,725$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…150ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,473$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…66a3backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…83b3backed Yes | 0c | 26,990$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…d6e7backed Yes | 0c | 26,990$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620a…5a71backed Yes | 0c | 26,975$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09e…a0b9backed Yes | 0c | 26,379$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…bf4fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…874cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…07f4backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…b1febacked Yes | 0c | 25,970$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 0c | 25,770$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…4882backed Yes | 0c | 25,760$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…d75abacked Yes | 0c | 25,645$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…3fa8backed Yes | 0c | 25,322$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,201$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…5819backed Yes | 0c | 25,080$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…9878backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…fb5fbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…1971backed Yes | 0c | 23,576$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…68d2backed Yes | 0c | 23,152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…fde3backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…f026backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…59d1backed Yes | 0c | 22,085$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…b03fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,860$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…b940backed Yes | 0c | 21,835$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…650cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,325$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89b…8ae2backed Yes | 0c | 20,560$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…f541backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 20,247$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ea6fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…15d8backed Yes | 0c | 19,390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…ff30backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…9aa0backed Yes | 0c | 18,870$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…31e2backed Yes | 0c | 18,345$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…d3edbacked Yes | 0c | 18,275$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…006fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,128$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…dac0backed Yes | 0c | 18,115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecc…6faabacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…d923backed Yes | 0c | 17,215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…dca1backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?this page
- Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes won
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.