Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda7c9a4106beba4799d4e38ce4e8df14ea2651bec78cdd12b7295aa3cc42268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,852,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,510,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,852,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0f7…6ee8backed Yes | 3c | 50,798$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 49,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.93 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…0796backed Yes | 3c | 39,473$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Yes | 3c | 35,261$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,692$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 4c | 26,885$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 25,097$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 24,111$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…851fbacked Yes | 2c | 23,703$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,964$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 17,261$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…5d24backed Yes | 3c | 16,897$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…9fccbacked Yes | 4c | 15,660$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…c285backed Yes | 3c | 14,754$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 14,750$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 2c | 14,513$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 13,721$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 12,864$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 3c | 12,815$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…c6a3backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…d949backed Yes | 4c | 11,292$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 2c | 10,307$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 10,281$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 10,279$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…a799backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 9,996$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 9,896$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…f4a5backed Yes | 2c | 9,561$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 2c | 8,813$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…f579backed Yes | 3c | 8,786$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…c22abacked Yes | 1c | 8,565$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…27e5backed Yes | 5c | 8,498$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…be9bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,423$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 1c | 8,089$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 7,545$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…9f89backed Yes | 3c | 7,528$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 0c | 7,178$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 1c | 7,105$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…4b60backed Yes | 1c | 7,098$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 7,047$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 6,780$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,770$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…d116backed Yes | 2c | 6,716$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…2a3bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…32d3backed Yes | 3c | 6,187$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…eeedbacked Yes | 2c | 6,080$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 4c | 5,905$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…6fffbacked Yes | 3c | 5,899$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…66adbacked Yes | 2c | 5,882$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…65c0backed Yes | 2c | 5,810$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…7ea0backed Yes | 2c | 5,369$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…54d7backed Yes | 3c | 5,296$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 2c | 5,264$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 2c | 5,059$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 2c | 5,040$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,849$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…8e5fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,720$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…e82abacked Yes | 2c | 4,616$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…b21cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 3c | 4,301$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…c483backed Yes | 3c | 4,209$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…2fd6backed Yes | 2c | 4,101$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…278cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,045$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…9860backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…7f3dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,992$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…ac3fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,944$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,918$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 4c | 3,800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…66e4backed Yes | 3c | 3,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…ce0fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,537$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 3,522$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 1c | 3,448$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…f8a0backed Yes | 5c | 3,447$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…e909backed Yes | 6c | 3,433$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 2c | 3,360$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 3,203$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…4edfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…4d80backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,980$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…94b4backed Yes | 2c | 2,951$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…8209backed Yes | 2c | 2,947$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…e95ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…83ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,899$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…ef59backed Yes | 2c | 2,889$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,887$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…368cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,853$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,808$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607a…1813backed Yes | 1c | 2,808$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 2c | 2,775$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…2431backed Yes | 2c | 2,718$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…9536backed Yes | 1c | 2,702$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3347…588ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,671$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…fa39backed Yes | 1c | 2,644$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…db95backed Yes | 5c | 2,630$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 3c | 2,600$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.