TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa79a…8f08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.4%+$19.16
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.4%+$5.62
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+376.8%+$168.33
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114.68
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$26.04
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$25.01
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Antalya 3: Maria Sara Popa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$17.53
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Delray Beach Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marcos Gironbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Rio Open: Cristian Garin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+220%+$82.5
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.36
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.58
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+610.2%+$697.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick1cpaid+1,076.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+1,289.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+2,148.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+4,397.5%+$1,750.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62.25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$76.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.