NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32e7183097fe04a68462a739a84cb70d25e83d01d8995ad55f9e34a1ccaef33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,254,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,282,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,254,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,084 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Wizards | 77c | 56,223$43,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,887.54 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Pacers | 0c | 50,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Pacers | 1c | 42,044$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…ce92backed Pacers | 57c | 37,323$21,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,279.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 41c | 33,793$13,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,864.47 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 24c | 31,521$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Wizards | 44c | 27,666$12,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,623.7 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 45c | 26,738$12,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,706.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 63c | 26,598$16,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,629.99 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pacers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.82 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Wizards | 43c | 20,500$8,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,684.98 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Pacers | 57c | 20,500$11,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,684.94 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wizards | 51c | 18,495$9,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990.95 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,625 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…aa9fbacked Wizards | 43c | 16,787$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,568.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Pacers | 55c | 16,317$8,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,986.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Wizards | 39c | 15,323$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,347.19 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers | 55c | 15,300$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,414.99 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Pacers | 58c | 15,098$8,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,756.81 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards | 42c | 15,005$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,703.03 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 42c | 13,778$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…0baebacked Wizards | 43c | 13,300$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 41c | 13,246$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Wizards | 38c | 12,743$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.76 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Wizards | 37c | 12,704$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.26 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards | 45c | 12,215$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.46 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…0d82backed Wizards | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pacers | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.94 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 45c | 11,904$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.43 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Pacers | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Pacers | 1c | 10,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pacers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Wizards | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Wizards | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Wizards | 73c | 9,484$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wizards | 45c | 9,009$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.89 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pacers | 55c | 9,005$4,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.75 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 68c | 8,885$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 55c | 8,337$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.57 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 59c | 8,036$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.12 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 58c | 7,628$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pacers | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pacers | 54c | 7,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 29c | 6,749$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers | 63c | 6,453$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.18 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Pacers | 27c | 6,385$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.59 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 45c | 5,845$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Pacers | 57c | 5,833$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 40c | 5,541$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 35c | 5,486$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pacers | 18c | 5,140$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.5 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…173fbacked Pacers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Pacers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Wizards | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 37c | 4,594$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pacers | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Wizards | 46c | 4,372$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.98 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 0c | 4,350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…242dbacked Wizards | 42c | 4,333$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…57d5backed Pacers | 58c | 4,327$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 65c | 4,277$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2663backed Pacers | 57c | 4,200$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…cffabacked Pacers | 58c | 4,120$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…a325backed Pacers | 57c | 4,050$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 71c | 4,005$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pacers | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wizards | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.86 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Pacers | 65c | 3,974$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.84 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…a978backed Wizards | 43c | 3,850$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Pacers | 58c | 3,736$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.59 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…91bbbacked Pacers | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 59c | 3,397$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…4849backed Wizards | 45c | 3,300$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Pacers | 65c | 3,064$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wizards | 56c | 3,016$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.14 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Pacers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…9c19backed Pacers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Pacers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pacers | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pacers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.87 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 46c | 2,912$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.23 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 35c | 2,857$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers | 19c | 2,842$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 62c | 2,789$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pacers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Pacers | 37c | 2,676$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.89 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Pacers | 61c | 2,648$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Wizards | 42c | 2,631$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.71 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Wizards | 45c | 2,611$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.57 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Wizards | 34c | 2,550$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.11 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…7f4abacked Wizards | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Pacers | 57c | 2,441$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.11 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Wizardsthis page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Wizards won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 6.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.