NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b8dc56b7fcffa97759a31bff8a1b17fd190a4bd0942884fce26679be81aa12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 48c | 56,979$27,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,349.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…d02cbacked Pacers | 52c | 6,631$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…d30bbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,609$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Wizards | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 47c | 4,268$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 47c | 4,104$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.89 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…84d1backed Pacers | 52c | 3,950$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587d…6461backed Pacers | 52c | 3,806$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ff5fbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,472$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a507backed Pacers | 52c | 3,391$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…667bbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,325$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…24b9backed Wizards | 48c | 3,074$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…2da3backed Pacers | 52c | 2,862$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…a577backed Wizards | 48c | 2,828$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…03b0backed Pacers | 52c | 2,646$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 29c | 2,625$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…9b22backed Wizards | 48c | 2,596$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers | 50c | 2,556$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 72c | 2,528$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…4a01backed Wizards | 48c | 2,489$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…ce53backed Wizards | 48c | 2,482$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Wizards | 50c | 2,297$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.51 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…09e7backed Wizards | 48c | 2,289$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…2a59backed Pacers | 52c | 2,203$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…2edfbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,149$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…17dbbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…9c95backed Pacers | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…3990backed Pacers | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…31b2backed Wizards | 48c | 1,882$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2997backed Pacers | 52c | 1,835$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…3120backed Pacers | 52c | 1,786$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…06e6backed Wizards | 48c | 1,751$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…6929backed Pacers | 52c | 1,714$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…cc2cbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,519$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…ac5abacked Wizards | 48c | 1,462$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…896ebacked Wizards | 48c | 1,436$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8caa…a63dbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…2838backed Wizards | 48c | 1,387$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Wizards | 48c | 1,379$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.68 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 58c | 1,346$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.68 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…0f8bbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,321$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…826cbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,294$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7279backed Pacers | 52c | 1,197$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…241ebacked Wizards | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…aa6dbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,127$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Pacers | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pacers | 47c | 1,041$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…dcffbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…cffebacked Wizards | 48c | 999$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b86…2ab5backed Wizards | 48c | 990$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…e374backed Wizards | 48c | 947$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Wizards | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…93e2backed Wizards | 48c | 939$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…2f23backed Pacers | 52c | 923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…9f59backed Wizards | 48c | 921$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…1439backed Wizards | 48c | 916$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…6f86backed Pacers | 52c | 901$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…fddabacked Wizards | 48c | 888$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…b670backed Wizards | 48c | 887$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…04f8backed Wizards | 48c | 825$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pacers | 52c | 820$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 53c | 815.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 50c | 797.24$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 51c | 792.08$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…6facbacked Wizards | 48c | 759$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…ed30backed Pacers | 52c | 753$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 43c | 740.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 47c | 679$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…4135backed Pacers | 52c | 648$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…d83bbacked Wizards | 48c | 606$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 51c | 581.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.27 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…32febacked Pacers | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Wizards | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Wizards | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Wizards | 69c | 431.22$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 52c | 384.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…c99ebacked Pacers | 52c | 305$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…30d0backed Pacers | 52c | 299$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…d160backed Pacers | 52c | 295$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pacers | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Wizards | 47c | 280.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…a483backed Wizards | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…d3f4backed Pacers | 52c | 228$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Pacers | 11c | 212.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Wizards | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 53c | 200.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pacers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 52c | 188.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Pacers | 50c | 149.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Wizards won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 6.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.