NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acc570f08a37fe696fe3fb46bc352e0c4521d7fbd41ec25a2d3b02b3556b71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers | 53c | 76,304$40,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,673.95 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 47c | 48,394$22,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,862.42 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers | 55c | 18,361$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098.39 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pacers | 44c | 8,916$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Wizards | 47c | 7,417$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.3 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Wizards | 47c | 7,017$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.02 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Wizards | 55c | 6,516$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.08 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 47c | 6,135$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 44c | 5,981$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 44c | 5,607$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 47c | 4,346$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 48c | 4,120$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 52c | 3,660$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 55c | 3,088$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pacers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,700$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 44c | 2,598$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 45c | 2,471$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.44 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards | 44c | 2,450$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards | 49c | 2,336$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.44 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Pacers | 44c | 2,320$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 52c | 2,100$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 53c | 2,010$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pacers | 46c | 1,853$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.38 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pacers | 44c | 1,386$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.84 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pacers | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.84 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,059$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers | 45c | 814.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pacers | 44c | 788$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 44c | 653.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Wizards | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Wizards | 56c | 558.93$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 49c | 534.69$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pacers | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 52c | 394.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 46c | 377.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wizards | 51c | 330$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Pacers | 44c | 328.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Wizards | 51c | 290.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 48c | 261.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pacers | 34c | 255.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 43c | 250.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 49c | 236.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pacers | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pacers | 46c | 173.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 66c | 152.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wizards | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Pacers | 31c | 143.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Pacers | 44c | 135.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pacers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pacers | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pacers | 47c | 115.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Pacers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd917…3db6backed Wizards | 54c | 113.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Pacers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Pacers | 44c | 102.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Pacers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Pacers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 56c | 88.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers | 44c | 84.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wizards | 67c | 83.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Pacers | 44c | 82.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Pacers | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Pacers | 44c | 75.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Pacers | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wizards | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pacers | 47c | 64.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…2854backed Pacers | 56c | 53.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Wizards | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Wizards | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pacers | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Pacers | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Wizards | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pacers | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Wizards | 55c | 34.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers | 47c | 32.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…6211backed Pacers | 49c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…08d3backed Wizards | 52c | 29.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Wizards | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Wizards | 54c | 27.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Pacers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Wizards | 67c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…7516backed Wizards | 52c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Wizards | 46c | 26.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pacers | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…8796backed Wizards | 62c | 25.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 41c | 25.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Pacers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Pacers | 45c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Wizards won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 6.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.