TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e35…159e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Daniel Michalskibacked Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+71.6%+$12.78
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+128.9%+$16.07
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+73.5%+$9.19
New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Rei Sakamotobacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
New Delhi: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Rio Noguchibacked Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42%+$5.62
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.7%+$3.75
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.43
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.7%+$7.17
New Delhi: Beibit Zhukayev vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.8%+$16.66
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+43.5%+$5.54
Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.8%+$8.64
Midland: Madison Brengle vs Mary Stoianabacked Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.2%+$3.64
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.1%+$10.01
Les Sables d'Olonne: Anna Siskova vs Dominika Salkovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+32.8%+$7.62
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+60.6%+$10.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.3%+$13.9
Tigre: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+65.1%+$10.8
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.3%+$5.31
Lille: Filip Misolic vs Martin Landalucebacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6.13
Lille: Arthur Bouquier vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Bouquier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.8%+$21.02
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37.3%+$5.73
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.6%+$14.58
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+39.5%+$5.76
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+113.6%+$25.67
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.39
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+121.5%+$48.43
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+93.4%+$16.46
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30.5%+$10.91
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+123.4%+$19.78
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+146.6%+$70.14
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.89
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+95.4%+$13.18
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.5%+$4.34
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+113.8%+$13.71
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+103.9%+$12.03
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.1%+$5.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+99.2%+$13.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.6%+$14.26
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.49
Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+44.8%+$4.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+130%+$15.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.