TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

New Delhi: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Rio Noguchi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sakellaridisof Sakellaridis, Noguchi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Noguchi49c4,966$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.8133346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sakellaridis70c3,781$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.598,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Noguchi15c2,360$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.994630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Noguchi33c2,314$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Noguchi51c1,963$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8741645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Sakellaridis56c1,772$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5812944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Noguchi65c1,735$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.335658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Noguchi49c1,663$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.755438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sakellaridis63c1,403$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.282,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sakellaridis54c1,379$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.552,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Noguchi40c1,349$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2924329.6%72 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Sakellaridis57c1,324$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.991,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Noguchi44c1,288$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.7265959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sakellaridis56c1,201$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.475748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Noguchi50c1,196$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.21,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Noguchi41c1,170$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.294,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Noguchi17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Noguchi37c999.98$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4614643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Noguchi47c845$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.421,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Noguchi44c820$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3770752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sakellaridis51c816.46$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.311,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f8…4a8fbacked Sakellaridis59c786.48$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.471225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sakellaridis56c714.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2647057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Sakellaridis53c631.23$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6765949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Noguchi20c621.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Noguchi47c614.4$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.713,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Sakellaridis75c592.34$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9424060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Noguchi17c573.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Sakellaridis51c520.48$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.045446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sakellaridis50c499.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.254,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Sakellaridis50c499.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.232356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Noguchi46c432.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19819938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Noguchi47c421.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Noguchi50c421$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3913456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Sakellaridis56c414.06$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0619653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Sakellaridis55c385.2$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Noguchi40c379.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed Noguchi22c364.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sakellaridis45c358.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.444,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Noguchi44c357.26$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4710440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Noguchi47c334.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9716340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Sakellaridis69c320.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8352037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Noguchi18c282$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Noguchi18c277.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Noguchi30c275.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2611454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sakellaridis55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1a…16b7backed Sakellaridis76c243.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.77875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sakellaridis50c237.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2369051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Sakellaridis54c213$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1799255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Sakellaridis67c206$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Sakellaridis52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Noguchi48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Sakellaridis52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Sakellaridis52c191.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.965048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Sakellaridis65c184.01$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0131941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Sakellaridis14c154.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.132045%9 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.32per pick13cpaid+273.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Noguchi37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5820554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Sakellaridis47c105.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8220847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sakellaridis51c100.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.383,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Noguchi35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Sakellaridis55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4540744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Noguchi51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Noguchi21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Sakellaridis52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7511465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d3…0d2abacked Noguchi17c91.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Noguchi46c86.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.741,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Noguchi32c84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.853,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Sakellaridis53c75.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4412245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Noguchi49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.332842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Sakellaridis50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Sakellaridis51c60.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Sakellaridis52c60.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8124454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sakellaridis49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.877,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Noguchi25c58.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.526,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Noguchi18c58.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.723832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sakellaridis64c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1605…124fbacked Sakellaridis75c55.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.091250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sakellaridis80c54.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.057,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Sakellaridis78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0830254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sakellaridis60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Noguchi48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2435040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Noguchi48c45.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0314540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Noguchi48c43.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.992,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sakellaridis51c42.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Noguchi50c40.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sakellaridis52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7238048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Sakellaridis49c38.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6918447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Sakellaridis54c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Sakellaridis54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0442358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Noguchi50c36.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4441272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…4943backed Sakellaridis55c36.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.623658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2594…cd5abacked Noguchi45c26.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Sakellaridis57c21.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e35…159ebacked Sakellaridis70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.623470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Sakellaridis64c18.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.748756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.