TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x725d…e49a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royerbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Roland Garros WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Toyama: Hiromi Abe vs Sae Noguchibacked Hiromi Abe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63%+$9.45
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+89%+$29.34
Chile Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.54
Lugano: Mika Brunold vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.71
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.38
Pune: Ilya Ivashka vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pune: Ilia Simakin vs Alastair Graybacked Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Mexican Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mexican Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Belluccibacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100.9%+$100.9
Mexican Open: James Duckworth vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Tigre 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
St. Brieuc: Raphael Perot vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+67.3%+$67.29
Pune: Michael Geerts vs Felix Gillbacked Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wongbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$49.76
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Tigre 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Franco Agamenonebacked Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+57%+$85.52
Lugano: Henri Squire vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+93%+$242.4
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.6%+$85.55
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+134.4%+$268.8
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$128.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.41
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+71.9%+$99.65
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$54.77
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$69.92
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jacobe Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$17.71
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$118.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+115.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.