Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7988f3365a22bfc9223a03e08832477bf2a8d3c0cfb10f045f4aadad6d166771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shimabukuroof Mannarino, Shimabukuro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Mannarino | 70c | 14,495$10,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,075 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Shimabukuro | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mannarino | 26c | 9,339$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shimabukuro | 37c | 8,482$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.54 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Mannarino | 73c | 5,467$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.58 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino | 6c | 5,080$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shimabukuro | 61c | 4,445$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Shimabukuro | 48c | 4,363$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Mannarino | 38c | 3,635$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.09 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Shimabukuro | 38c | 3,421$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.74 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Mannarino | 52c | 3,331$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.12 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mannarino | 56c | 2,773$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.42 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mannarino | 44c | 2,315$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.61 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Mannarino | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shimabukuro | 49c | 1,719$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shimabukuro | 30c | 1,590$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Shimabukuro | 46c | 1,431$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.47 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Shimabukuro | 44c | 1,396$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.41 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shimabukuro | 46c | 1,198$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Shimabukuro | 46c | 1,193$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.64 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Shimabukuro | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.77 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mannarino | 59c | 1,103$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mannarino | 57c | 1,084$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.94 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino | 50c | 1,076$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.72 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mannarino | 50c | 1,024$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Shimabukuro | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.39 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mannarino | 49c | 970$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino | 50c | 909$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.62 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Shimabukuro | 71c | 850.14$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Shimabukuro | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shimabukuro | 36c | 786.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Mannarino | 62c | 750.08$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Mannarino | 53c | 690.09$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mannarino | 55c | 686.24$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.43 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Mannarino | 39c | 643.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Mannarino | 62c | 642$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Shimabukuro | 48c | 627.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Mannarino | 22c | 561.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shimabukuro | 48c | 555.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Mannarino | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mannarino | 44c | 520.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Shimabukuro | 49c | 512.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Mannarino | 54c | 505$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mannarino | 40c | 496.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Mannarino | 53c | 471.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shimabukuro | 44c | 463$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mannarino | 60c | 460$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Mannarino | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Mannarino | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 396.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Mannarino | 62c | 385.94$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Mannarino | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Mannarino | 53c | 377.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 364.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mannarino | 55c | 359$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mannarino | 52c | 351.26$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Shimabukuro | 41c | 349.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Mannarino | 55c | 325.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Mannarino | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Shimabukuro | 47c | 307.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…2bd9backed Mannarino | 62c | 301.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shimabukuro | 61c | 287.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Mannarino | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mannarino | 55c | 270.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mannarino | 51c | 262.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 256.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mannarino | 56c | 246.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…148fbacked Mannarino | 62c | 241.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mannarino | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mannarino | 54c | 221.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Shimabukuro | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 210.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Shimabukuro | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Shimabukuro | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Mannarino | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shimabukuro | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Mannarino | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 193.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mannarino | 52c | 188$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mannarino | 54c | 186.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Shimabukuro | 46c | 184$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Shimabukuro | 37c | 183.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Mannarino | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Shimabukuro | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Mannarino | 55c | 177.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Mannarino | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Mannarino | 55c | 157.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shimabukuro | 69c | 155.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shimabukuro | 47c | 154.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 147.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Mannarino | 62c | 138.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…247dbacked Shimabukuro | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Shimabukuro | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Mannarino | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Mannarino | 33c | 124.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Mannarino | 60c | 118.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Shimabukuro | 42c | 117.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…ef02backed Mannarino | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Shimabukuro | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Shimabukuro | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.