NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b71130b6f795b75b36b693c6a4e03cf7f5c38372cc96a84ef9c64b112219a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Nuggets | 49c | 168,383$82,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,507.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 50c | 160,000$80,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,499.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 49c | 158,128$77,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,166.16 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 51c | 142,338$72,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,745.64 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nuggets | 51c | 49,308$24,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,916.91 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Nuggets | 50c | 45,930$23,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,172.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Warriors | 51c | 30,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 50c | 20,808$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,367.12 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,299.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 50c | 17,674$8,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,881.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 14,619$7,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,463.33 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 13,413$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,509.66 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 11,614$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.92 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,777$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.14 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 10,111$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.95 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,975$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…0d01backed Nuggets | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,380$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 8,508$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.9 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 6,150$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,706$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,554$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 57c | 5,420$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,075$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.25 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,988$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,660$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,625$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,334$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 51c | 4,065$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,035$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 49c | 3,797$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,429$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.28 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,344$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,109$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,077$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,809$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Warriors | 51c | 2,554$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.85 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,179$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.65 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,072$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.76 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 42c | 1,095$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Warriors | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 998$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 52c | 926.77$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.85 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 52c | 847.12$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.73 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Nuggets | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 799.92$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 49c | 760.05$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Nuggets | 46c | 657$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nuggets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Nuggets | 50c | 588.23$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 51c | 535.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.54 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Warriors | 52c | 509.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Nuggets | 51c | 505.56$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nuggets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Warriors | 54c | 405.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 51c | 400.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nuggets | 45c | 396.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Warriors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 389.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Warriors | 52c | 380.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 49c | 316.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 57c | 310.31$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed Warriors | 51c | 307$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Nuggets | 50c | 306.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Warriors | 50c | 292.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 292.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Nuggets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Nuggets | 40c | 250.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Warriors | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Warriors | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 48c | 242.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 238.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 49c | 223.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.