NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841d3fddc2db99e99a76a7987893edefb23f406519164ca77c2cfdcd718e1506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 10,279$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 54c | 7,238$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,143$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,300$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,072$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 50c | 3,463$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 43c | 3,116$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 42c | 2,933$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 2,818$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,509$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,442$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.53 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,784$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.56 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 41c | 1,697$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.27 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,344$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.26 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,319$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,310$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.34 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 64c | 1,269$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Warriors | 51c | 1,233$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.17 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Warriors | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,033$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.65 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nuggets | 38c | 843.03$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 50c | 809$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.5 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Warriors | 46c | 762.09$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nuggets | 40c | 655.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 31c | 652.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 59c | 567$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 42c | 534.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 36c | 519.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 59c | 450.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 19c | 340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 336.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Warriors | 44c | 297.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 57c | 296$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 41c | 291.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Nuggets | 52c | 278.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Nuggets | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Nuggets | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Nuggets | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Warriors | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 42c | 186.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 42c | 176.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Nuggets | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nuggets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 36c | 146.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 136.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 51c | 115.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Warriors | 42c | 108.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 51c | 102.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Nuggets | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…d0eebacked Nuggets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Nuggets | 49c | 97.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Warriors | 42c | 92.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 44c | 89.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Warriors | 41c | 88.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nuggets | 54c | 87.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Nuggets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Nuggets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Nuggets | 59c | 84.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Nuggets | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Nuggets | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Nuggets | 50c | 69.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 69.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Nuggets | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 63c | 66.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 58.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Warriors | 50c | 57.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets | 53c | 57.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets | 51c | 55.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…87fcbacked Warriors | 44c | 53.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Warriors | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nuggets | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nuggets | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 41c | 49.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Warriors | 43c | 49.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nuggets | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Nuggets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 46.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Warriors | 37c | 44.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets | 58c | 43.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Nuggets | 55c | 39.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Warriors | 43c | 39.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.