NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf491cbcf64b8bdba0a4cabd0b1808c3695d2dafd7713513e2504cc12be0c1a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 49c | 402,447$196,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,270.14 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 51c | 144,841$73,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,869 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Nuggets | 51c | 125,000$63,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,750 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.93 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Nuggets | 52c | 51,000$26,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,520 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 46,395$24,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,204.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 52c | 42,608$21,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,985.99 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 53c | 18,531$9,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,847.63 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 45c | 14,622$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,058.68 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 49c | 14,408$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,348.08 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 11,676$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.43 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…55c5backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,594$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Nuggets | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 8,317$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.53 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 52c | 8,269$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 44c | 8,029$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e71abacked Nuggets | 52c | 7,946$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…0d01backed Nuggets | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 6,960$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.98 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 44c | 5,435$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.84 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,335$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.33 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,111$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.91 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 46c | 3,819$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,693$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 56c | 3,633$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,573$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.09 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Warriors | 46c | 3,471$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.34 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Warriors | 47c | 2,939$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.74 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,918$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,874$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,820$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 26c | 2,528$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.36 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,514$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,852$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,852$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Warriors | 50c | 1,851$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.74 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…7554backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,537$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,497$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,466$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.43 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,438$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,404$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.89 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,290$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,227$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,129$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.57 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,127$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.07 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.16 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 28c | 995.34$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 982.56$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 45c | 975.01$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets | 30c | 832.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Nuggets | 55c | 784$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 46c | 756.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Nuggets | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Warriors | 47c | 634.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 48c | 628.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.91 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…2589backed Nuggets | 55c | 614.55$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Warriors | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Nuggets | 55c | 504.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.27 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 67c | 475.83$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Warriors | 48c | 416.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Nuggets | 49c | 392.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Warriors | 46c | 326.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Warriors | 57c | 323.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 54c | 300.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 54c | 300.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nuggets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Warriors | 48c | 271.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Warriors | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 236.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 214.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Nuggets | 48c | 209.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Warriors | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nuggets | 44c | 195.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Nuggets | 53c | 193.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 46c | 193.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 61c | 188.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Nuggets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Warriors | 51c | 177.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 173.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 46c | 172.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.