NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5346538cbfc880da50fe6b269a47e4f7cd8a38b2b120d85b1bc392d8cde6ced4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,212,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,329,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,212,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 32c | 654,236$207,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447,171.66 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 31c | 468,334$147,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320,958.52 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets | 69c | 443,759$306,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306,913.74 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 32c | 403,451$129,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274,113.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 61c | 389,626$239,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,461.26 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 67c | 205,759$137,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,686.46 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 66c | 201,008$131,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,100.8 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…6543backed Nuggets | 66c | 186,670$123,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,824 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 156,250$106,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,250 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 68c | 123,507$84,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,025.66 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 61c | 122,075$74,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,575 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 34c | 109,761$37,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,717.39 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,999.94 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 85,877$59,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,677.23 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Warriors | 33c | 72,727$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,727.27 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 66,709$45,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,614.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 49c | 54,218$26,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,662.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 32c | 49,999$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,999.44 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nuggets | 49c | 49,304$24,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,158.84 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 46,490$32,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,542.67 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 34c | 45,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,699.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 69c | 43,461$29,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,987.83 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Warriors | 31c | 40,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,699.95 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Warriors | 34c | 39,000$13,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,740 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 34c | 38,498$13,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,405.89 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 30c | 38,454$11,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,866.93 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 38,150$26,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,830.64 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 43c | 34,622$14,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,781.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets | 66c | 32,280$21,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,439.74 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 31c | 31,709$9,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,879.2 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Nuggets | 69c | 31,215$21,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,653 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nuggets | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 69c | 29,779$20,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,551.34 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 31c | 29,126$9,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,096.01 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 7c | 27,600$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 69c | 26,768$18,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,442.25 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 31c | 25,756$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,756.39 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Warriors | 31c | 25,458$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,565.75 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…06b1backed Nuggets | 69c | 24,790$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets | 25c | 23,693$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.23 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Nuggets | 68c | 23,000$15,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,652.53 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 55c | 22,887$12,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,275.22 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Nuggets | 67c | 22,693$15,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,254.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 68c | 20,400$13,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,823.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Nuggets | 69c | 20,000$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,765.25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 33c | 19,700$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,241.26 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 69c | 19,042$13,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,138.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 69c | 18,453$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,732.57 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Nuggets | 64c | 18,400$11,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,755.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 72c | 17,434$12,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,626.41 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Warriors | 33c | 17,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,330 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 16,999$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440.11 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Warriors | 32c | 16,908$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,559.6 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Warriors | 27c | 16,630$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,093.22 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Nuggets | 68c | 16,286$11,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,110.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 69c | 16,003$11,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,042.1 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…17fdbacked Nuggets | 66c | 15,796$10,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,386 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Warriors | 31c | 15,729$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,853 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 58c | 15,371$8,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,980.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Nuggets | 65c | 15,315$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 34c | 15,178$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.57 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Nuggets | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 69c | 14,896$10,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,278.24 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…8d2ebacked Warriors | 41c | 14,521$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,521.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 40c | 13,616$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.55 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 41c | 13,590$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,976.89 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 44c | 13,125$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 34c | 13,000$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,570 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 39c | 12,711$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 68c | 12,690$8,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,630.91 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 42c | 12,519$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,291.94 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Nuggets | 61c | 12,475$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.1 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 41c | 12,389$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.78 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…d166backed Nuggets | 65c | 12,308$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets | 68c | 11,583$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.24 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 11,534$7,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.67 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Warriors | 34c | 11,170$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.19 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Nuggets | 62c | 10,674$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.33 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 34c | 10,563$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Nuggets | 69c | 10,383$7,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Warriors | 28c | 10,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,209.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Warriors | 30c | 10,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.96 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Warriors | 32c | 9,902$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…627bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 9,900$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.49 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nuggets | 8c | 9,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Nuggets | 68c | 9,403$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.25 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 9,213$6,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed Warriors | 48c | 9,055$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 35c | 8,571$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.43 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets | 68c | 8,234$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.12 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 8,123$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 15c | 7,904$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.12 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 30c | 7,727$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.04 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Nuggets | 68c | 7,640$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.99 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Nuggets | 70c | 7,633$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.82 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 47c | 7,563$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.64 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Nuggets | 55c | 7,474$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.35 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Warriorsthis page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pat Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.