TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd6d…c733

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT9358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$87.04
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.73
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.97
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51.43
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.03
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.71
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$265.43
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$166.43
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.68
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48.6
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.6
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$97.25
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+67.5%+$67.5
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT6330.2%19 W · 44 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$42.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68.9
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$213
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$81.6
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$97.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.5
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$117.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.54
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$159.95
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$52.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$22.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$86.34
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.1
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$33.3
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.8%+$48.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$48.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.6%+$16.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+191%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Albany Great Danes vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Fairfield Stags vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.67
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+48.4%+$13.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+89.8%+$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$74.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.