Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406c335f7b7ab4f319db4a48652fd7727bbffce5d966132f81cb2361491fb7b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,645$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 47c | 1,207$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 53c | 804.96$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.33 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 80c | 685.73$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 671.52$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.59 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 469.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 53c | 392.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked No | 57c | 342.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 80c | 309.16$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 40c | 299.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed No | 52c | 296.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 46c | 278.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 49c | 237.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 203.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 199.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 148.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 58c | 142.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 133.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…3310backed No | 76c | 107.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 103.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 68cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 93.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 51c | 91.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed No | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 70c | 70.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a93fbacked Yes | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 79c | 50.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 47.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 30c | 44.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…f064backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 39c | 40.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 54c | 39.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 41c | 39.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 52c | 31.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1f…18cebacked No | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…aa7dbacked Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed No | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Yes | 75c | 24.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…875abacked Yes | 69c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…1cb9backed Yes | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.