TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over71c33,326$23,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c16,784$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under42c9,371$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.372653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c4,436$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.284,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c4,325$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.532,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c1,992$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under4c1,900$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over69c1,196$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under29c934.22$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c891.59$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under29c874.07$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.488549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under39c770.72$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.585056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over40c723$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.84645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c656.67$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.58445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c615.1$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.111,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under29c534.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over44c434.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7313721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over68c433.92$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c389.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over50c370.37$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.183056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under30c315.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.481,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under29c307.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over18c302.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7617327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under62c292.19$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.487143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under35c288.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.911656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under31c278.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.414852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over18c269.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.13537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under62c252$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.242236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Over37c222$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.861136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over66c214.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under33c208.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.753327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under35c155.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.412653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under12c145.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.975016%8 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c145$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over66c144.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.029157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0928…7200backed Over64c140.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under29c132.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.320259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.33259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under32c119.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3714258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under29c112.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.699154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over59c109.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.332941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c100.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0814055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over19c100.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1228633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over57c99.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.974850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over52c99.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9359645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over40c95.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.263253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under55c80.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a36…5eabbacked Over68c79.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over32c78.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.125334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc019…1b31backed Under70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under30c68.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1318961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under29c66.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1611842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1511858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Under45c64.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked Under76c64.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.29862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over31c61.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.673450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over65c61.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.559355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c60.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0925057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under32c49.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c47.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under34c42.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.419955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.768548.2%41 W · 44 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under80c37.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.659549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4513550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under32c35.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under29c35.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3411250.9%57 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under47c33.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.935152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under33c32.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522475%18 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c30.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over68c30.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.014751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c30.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5414045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over59c29.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3227948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over70c28.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.588763.2%55 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over72c25.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.231681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c25.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Under54c23.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over68c21.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.927751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over56c21.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4728456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over70c21.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.372763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over65c16.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over69c16.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.042657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd6…3039backed Over80c13.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.