Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcbc4215c47dab64020a2569c08f13ca5cd2684431e1fed4b737f8895de3147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Manchester City FC, Southampton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Manchester City FC | 62c | 26,831$16,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,635.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Southampton FC | 38c | 23,430$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,526.9 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southampton FC | 51c | 10,446$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.09 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 7,719$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southampton FC | 59c | 4,312$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.62 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Southampton FC | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Southampton FC | 41c | 2,456$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.84 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Manchester City FC | 56c | 2,129$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Southampton FC | 46c | 2,082$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.42 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Manchester City FC | 52c | 1,958$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 1,895$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.1 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Manchester City FC | 59c | 1,829$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.08 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Southampton FC | 46c | 1,113$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Southampton FC | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Southampton FC | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Manchester City FC | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Southampton FC | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 781.86$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 675.18$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.6 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Southampton FC | 50c | 582.55$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Manchester City FC | 31c | 557.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 503.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Southampton FC | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Manchester City FC | 57c | 487.63$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Southampton FC | 55c | 473.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 446.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 442.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 368.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 351.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 347.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 259.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 248.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 235.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 235.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked Southampton FC | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Southampton FC | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 189$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 177.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Southampton FC | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 151.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Southampton FC | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 147.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Southampton FC | 65c | 144.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8c…5e69backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 125.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Southampton FC | 46c | 124.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 123.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Manchester City FC | 61c | 123.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 121.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Southampton FC | 39c | 121.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Manchester City FC | 31c | 115.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Southampton FC | 48c | 114.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 112.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 111.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Southampton FC | 47c | 109.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Manchester City FC | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 99.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Southampton FC | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 97.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Southampton FC | 45c | 93.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Southampton FC | 54c | 89.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Manchester City FC | 22c | 87.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Southampton FC | 39c | 80.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 77.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Southampton FC | 40c | 67.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…6ef9backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 66.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Southampton FC | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 64.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Southampton FC | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Southampton FC | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 53.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 53.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Southampton FC | 66c | 51.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 51.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Manchester City FC | 56c | 51.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Southampton FC | 44c | 48.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Southampton FC | 46c | 45.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Southampton FC | 68c | 45.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Southampton FC | 52c | 43.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…0d41backed Southampton FC | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Southampton FC | 49c | 40.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Manchester City FC | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Southampton FC | 47c | 38.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 53c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.