TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3190…93bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$266.1
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.76
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.71
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.95
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$15.39
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.84
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.22
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas Jarrybacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.48
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.87
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.4%+$9.34
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Magda Linette vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+45%+$19.79
Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Habib (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37.4%+$24.73
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.3%+$28.55
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ella Seidel vs Cristina Bucsabacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.9%+$18.41
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Tatjana Maria vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.48
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.97
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$51.8
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$114.55
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$75.9
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+101%+$85.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.01
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$34.81
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.2%+$25.29
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+39.2%+$56.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$893.92
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$101.2
Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$12.8
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.86
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.24
Grizzlies vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$21.22
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$44.28
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Bobby Portis Jr. win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.7%+$133.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$49.7
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$33.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$444
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$40.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.