Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaba2507c8ce55330e8069c0f7631e56909ef5c9ac06a3e561ab615115c992d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked No | 51c | 97,998$49,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,019.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 49c | 92,431$45,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,290.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 48c | 32,349$15,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,850.28 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 51c | 14,442$7,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 7,446$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.86 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 34c | 7,374$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.54 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed No | 50c | 6,029$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 48c | 5,079$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.89 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 5,060$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.16 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 52c | 4,232$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 4,139$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.31 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 49c | 4,034$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.14 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 51c | 3,903$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 52c | 3,815$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 54c | 3,407$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.18 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…ebe0backed Yes | 52c | 3,250$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…a769backed Yes | 52c | 3,221$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…7058backed Yes | 52c | 3,210$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 2,903$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.1 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 52c | 2,890$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 50c | 2,800$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…662cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,786$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 50c | 2,646$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.06 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 2,499$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.43 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.18 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd803…1362backed Yes | 52c | 2,114$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 52c | 1,924$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 51c | 1,889$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 53c | 1,751$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,687$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 50c | 1,637$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 1,502$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 49c | 1,137$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 11c | 1,101$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…7078backed No | 49c | 1,096$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…b22fbacked No | 50c | 1,091$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…2b2dbacked No | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…8d4dbacked No | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…00bfbacked No | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…cdcdbacked No | 49c | 1,070$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…79adbacked No | 49c | 1,068$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…6d58backed No | 49c | 1,063$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…fa3ebacked No | 50c | 1,062$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 981.38$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.32 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…cf40backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Yes | 50c | 967.94$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…ac91backed Yes | 52c | 966.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 52c | 960.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 52c | 942.31$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed No | 48c | 940$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 55c | 927.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 53c | 877.66$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 52c | 778.88$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 52c | 775$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 623.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.47 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 53c | 610$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 48c | 602.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.16 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 53c | 573.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 48c | 565.47$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 49c | 560$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 52c | 544$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 50c | 543.65$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 50c | 533.14$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes | 51c | 525.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 503.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 53c | 499.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 52c | 496.13$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 48c | 414.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked No | 49c | 410.84$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 50c | 398.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 52c | 354.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…93a4backed No | 50c | 346$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 48c | 343.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…188bbacked No | 50c | 343$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…5422backed Yes | 52c | 334.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…3169backed No | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…107fbacked No | 50c | 319$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…37acbacked No | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…bb75backed No | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…4a62backed No | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 45c | 308.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…a343backed Yes | 50c | 303.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.