TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc167…4056

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST8943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.07
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.8
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$11.82
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$13.32
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.07
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$169.84
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$402.35
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$202.15
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+194.9%+$610.27
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+51.8%+$1,005.78
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+172.9%+$2,135.76
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$907.09
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$348.36
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,575.28
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$19.09
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$602.58
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$969.39
Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+319.3%+$2,167.08
Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+555.7%+$7,374.12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+39.6%+$80.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+219.2%+$64.71
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+205.1%+$135.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.8
Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.57
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+203%+$254.66
Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,323.97
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$172.2
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Will Brentford vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$32.54
Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+66.4%+$776.62
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+30.1%+$112.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Jets vs. Predatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$51.97
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+57.3%+$28.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+278.7%+$420.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Twente end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$425.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.