TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chiefsof Buccaneers, Chiefs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Buccaneers22c30,966$6,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,724.7932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Chiefs73c25,000$18,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+89.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Buccaneers19c19,424$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.3812051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Chiefs69c15,493$10,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2093…6d4dbacked Chiefs78c13,010$10,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.46887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Buccaneers21c12,805$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Buccaneers36c11,024$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.7614457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Buccaneers27c10,786$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.6618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Buccaneers20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9816036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Chiefs80c9,371$7,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.32665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Buccaneers21c8,888$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.475038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Chiefs59c7,260$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.556734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Buccaneers21c7,045$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.3944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Chiefs78c5,975$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.0810334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…28acbacked Chiefs80c5,943$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs79c5,800$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.999259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Chiefs79c5,500$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.977857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Buccaneers9c4,521$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Buccaneers21c4,351$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.6136246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Buccaneers21c3,933$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.275925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Chiefs80c3,500$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70019361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs66c3,469$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.5210768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Buccaneers25c3,450$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.515527.3%15 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedaa…2f33backed Buccaneers8c3,157$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb18…1f0ebacked Buccaneers9c3,138$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Buccaneers17c3,051$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0916832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Chiefs80c2,720$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Buccaneers15c2,708$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Buccaneers21c2,610$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Buccaneers19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9911346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Buccaneers26c2,442$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.696338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Buccaneers8c2,439$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9933328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Buccaneers21c2,387$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Buccaneers22c2,360$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Chiefs78c2,108$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2118658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…9d76backed Buccaneers16c2,020$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Buccaneers22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Buccaneers21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Buccaneers35c2,000$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.9911821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs62c1,887$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.343941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Chiefs80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Buccaneers20c1,793$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.835848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Buccaneers32c1,739$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.296071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Buccaneers28c1,722$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.643250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Chiefs80c1,719$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.752055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac34…b0fcbacked Chiefs80c1,701$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.153641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Buccaneers19c1,700$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Chiefs79c1,700$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18cb…7364backed Buccaneers21c1,595$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Chiefs78c1,567$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.96157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Buccaneers23c1,515$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Buccaneers12c1,505$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.412520%5 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Buccaneers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Buccaneers26c1,479$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4914139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Buccaneers22c1,455$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e8…687ebacked Buccaneers20c1,450$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Chiefs72c1,400$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3212842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe091…9549backed Chiefs80c1,334$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f84fbacked Buccaneers20c1,245$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+72%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Chiefs79c1,244$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa760…e888backed Buccaneers24c1,233$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Buccaneers40c1,121$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.283033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b7…c47ebacked Buccaneers20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Chiefs78c1,064$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.254852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Buccaneers21c1,025$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.58550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Buccaneers29c1,010$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6722638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…8744backed Buccaneers20c1,005$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205f…b817backed Chiefs79c1,004$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers21c1,000$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3430446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa0…6382backed Buccaneers21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Buccaneers22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Buccaneers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Chiefs80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Buccaneers19c999.94$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9933047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Chiefs80c990$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Buccaneers21c985.71$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Buccaneers32c934.34$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9912934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Buccaneers22c913.5$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205160%0 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5372…d2f9backed Buccaneers19c911.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbf…5b73backed Buccaneers31c901.37$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Buccaneers17c900$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Buccaneers29c900$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Buccaneers21c842.33$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Chiefs80c803.1$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6213260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Buccaneers24c770.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4121713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Chiefs67c727.15$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.066354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f32…8463backed Buccaneers22c709.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Chiefs80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a58…a860backed Buccaneers34c622.95$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Buccaneers21c618.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.974936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Buccaneers34c615.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.789754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x703c…e334backed Buccaneers20c595.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Buccaneers17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Buccaneers21c547.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.955729.8%17 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs79c540.24$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2438459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Chiefs80c537$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Chiefs78c533.98$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4839242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Buccaneers19c520.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.936944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f90…0ee8backed Buccaneers21c507.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…7f00backed Buccaneers20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.