TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x855f…cfb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.59
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.59
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+400%+$500
Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.47
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.84
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+635.6%+$257.83
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+337.2%+$1,851
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Swimming Pools" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "A.D.H.D" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,119.77
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$179.42
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$205
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+141.2%+$407.95
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+46.1%+$1,366.17
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$66.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$129.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$254.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.