Golf · resolved market
Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b705f38833fca823196e6a65aed5b0397d41a32d3a82864204a09fe63ad66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 24c | 33,211$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.75 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 4,562$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…d89dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 27c | 3,863$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 23c | 3,288$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 78c | 3,049$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,168$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 1,502$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 25c | 1,127$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…1609backed Yes | 26c | 800$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 24c | 657$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 540.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 79c | 532.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1323…6008backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -94%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 23c | 471.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…cfb0backed Yes | 23c | 441.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed No | 76c | 433.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…331dbacked Yes | 23c | 404.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e8…e34ebacked Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 26c | 287.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Yes | 13c | 258.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…1cffbacked Yes | 27c | 187.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked No | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…d260backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…756dbacked Yes | 25c | 98.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…c14ebacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…b75ebacked Yes | 24c | 91.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…63f2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…b998backed Yes | 25c | 78.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 75c | 60.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Carlos Ortiz win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tony Finau win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.