Golf · resolved market
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb7ac9ca508afed888d085dd7ad814398fb67c7deb0f4fd8a986c5cef217d746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 65c | 192,348$125,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,121.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 36c | 131,268$46,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,608.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 30c | 62,632$18,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,889.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 35c | 60,840$21,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,434.34 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 32c | 17,183$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.72 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 16,875$10,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 45c | 15,462$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 55c | 15,294$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.86 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 54c | 15,267$8,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 70c | 13,286$9,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 41c | 13,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 48c | 7,993$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 7,889$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.95 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,438$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.04 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 6,423$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 29c | 5,951$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.17 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 68c | 5,887$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 63c | 5,556$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 21c | 3,813$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 66c | 3,308$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 3c | 3,257$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 33c | 2,968$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…fae4backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 2,290$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 17c | 2,053$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 74c | 1,999$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.73 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…a5c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,817$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 19c | 1,700$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 46c | 1,692$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.44 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…6aa8backed Yes | 51c | 1,619$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Yes | 21c | 1,566$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 79c | 1,432$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 53c | 1,157$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 32c | 1,105$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…3e7bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 79c | 944.55$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 79c | 899.61$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 79c | 886$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.56 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…7a3bbacked Yes | 34c | 877.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…63f2backed Yes | 1c | 846$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 45c | 810$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Yes | 23c | 806$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed No | 54c | 643.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 15c | 629$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Yes | 15c | 558.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Yes | 39c | 514.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 79c | 513$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1323…6008backed Yes | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e8…e34ebacked Yes | 24c | 446.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 29c | 430$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 20c | 416.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 18c | 399.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 35c | 389.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 29c | 341.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 21c | 325$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…980dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Yes | 35c | 250$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 232$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked No | 56c | 221.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8938backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…c14ebacked Yes | 35c | 188.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed No | 61c | 164.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…c915backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed Yes | 25c | 139.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 10c | 137.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 21c | 114.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…d260backed Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed No | 69c | 100.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…c1fabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 44c | 96.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 21c | 94.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 79c | 83.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 53c | 75.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…bdf7backed Yes | 27c | 73.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 39c | 43.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…6e77backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e965backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…6234backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…bfcfbacked No | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad29…9dcabacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Carlos Ortiz win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tony Finau win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.